Sunday 8th February 2026
Yep, plenty more rain to come, though we might squeeze 1/2 colder and drier days at the end of the week.
Thanks to Karen for the photograph.
So the overall picture is the same has it has been for the last few weeks – high pressure blocks to the north-east over Scandinavia/Russia, with the jetstream being forced much further south through the Mediterranean, and large complex low pressure systems dominating especially in western Europe, including the UK.
However, this should change next weekend, and the jetstream will likely track further north towards the UK…which means the rain will be more persistent and strong winds more likely! But…baby steps towards a pattern change.

Today won’t be too bad, quite a lot of cloud, some brightness and some occasional showery bits of rain – more likely later this afternoon and into the evening. Around 10’C. More in the way of showery rain this evening, some showers still possible overnight – down to around 6’C.
Monday again not too bad – quite a lot of cloud around but more scope for some bright/sunny spells than of late, still the odd shower around too. Around 10’C. Further rain arriving around late afternoon/early evening for a fair few hours – gradually fragmenting late evening and overnight. Down to around 8’C and breezy.
Tuesday will be mostly cloudy, some splashes of rain/drizzle at times – more organised rain arriving around early/mid afternoon. Around 11’C and quite breezy at times. Further showery rain in the evening, and showers still possible overnight – down to around 8’C.
Wednesday looks mostly cloudy with occasional bits of showery rain/drizzle – though nothing especially notable likely. Perhaps a bit of brightness at times. Mild and breezy, around 12’C. Rain possible in the evening/overnight though the track is uncertain – more likely further south towards France.
By Thursday we are just starting to see some changes in the pattern – high pressure just nudging into the south of Spain, low pressure finally managing to push across the UK into Europe.

Details a bit more sketchy by this stage due to uncertainty on low pressure track, but broadly quite a bit of cloud around but some sunny spells – and some showers. Around 10’C, give or take. Colder air spreads south overnight – uncertain on details, perhaps skies clearing to give a frost (when was the last one?!), though also a chance instead of some more cloud rain…very small chance of a wintry mix.
The more likely outcome for Friday is that we are in a colder northerly flow, which would mean more in the way of sunshine, outside chance of a wintry shower and temperatures roughly around 4’C. Not a guaranteed outcome yet…but the more likely. Assuming so then likely frosty overnight.
Again assuming Friday happened as above, then Saturday would be similar, sunny spells, some cloud, perhaps a light shower and chilly – around 5’C.
Milder, wetter and windier weather then likely to arrive by Sunday (maybe Saturday night).
And yes, the week after is probably unsettled – with greater chances of heavy rain and strong winds than of late.
Perhaps less rain towards the end of February and beginning of March, though more a reversion to average amounts and some dry days – as opposed to any long dry spells.
I previously mentioned the chance of a sudden stratospheric warming event – this now looks off the cards, and just some minor warming event – unlikely to have any impact on our weather down here, and may just be the stratospheric polar vortex slowly winding down post-winter.
I’m still expecting a broadly meh spring – temperatures average at best, notably cool at times, somewhat showery, somewhat cloudy. But of course there will be some nicer/warmer weather mixed in somewhere…and it is a long time away meteorologically, things can change.
Have a good Sunday.





