Sunday 15th February 2026
More rain at times, but some sunny spells in between and a trend towards something drier – if broadly pretty cold until next weekend.
Thanks to Isabel for the photograph.
So the pattern has finally changed though it might not especially feel like it at times, notably today. The jetstream has pushed north towards the UK, the Azores high is pushing into Spain/Portugal – the high pressure block to the north-east towards Russia has dissipated. This all means that, sure, it remains unsettled this week but systems can actually clear through, and hence there will be sunny spells when it isn’t raining – instead of those incessantly cloudy skies.

Today will be cloudy with rain until around early afternoon – likely pretty heavy at times, especially mid/late morning. Some sunny spells possibly before sunset, though showers will remain possible. Quite windy at times this morning but the wind will fade. Variable cloud with some clear spells overnight, one or two passing showers in the breeze, down to around 4’C.
Monday sees quite a bit of cloud around, plenty of showers, some heavy – but there will be sunny spells at times too. Quite windy and feeling pretty chilly, around 8’C. Reasonably clear skies overnight, probably too breezy for a frost but a close call – down to around 1’C.
Tuesday sees a ridge of high pressure so a reasonably sunny day, some cloud floating around – a small chance of a light shower, and then generally becoming hazier later in the day as a weather system approaches. Chilly, around 7’C. Cloud thickens somewhat overnight and a fairly cold night – down to around 0’C, perhaps frosty.
Some uncertainty for Wednesday as weather fronts will be trying to progress but without much success. More likely it is fairly cloudy, fairly windy – some bright spells possible, some light rain possible also – and pretty cold at around 4’C. Perhaps instead weather fronts do make more progress and we get something more in the way of rain during the day. Also…a wintry surprise would not be impossible if weather fronts do make more progress. Uncertain overnight – roughly 50/50 between dry and cold, or some mix of rain/sleet/snow.
Thursday also quite uncertain though more likely it’s fairly cloudy, some hazy sunshine and on the dry side of things. Also likely pretty chilly – around 6’C. Frost possible overnight.
By Friday it looks like the Azores High might start pushing towards us, though the jetstream pretty active to our north.

More likely we are looking at something rather cloudy again, perhaps some light rain around, quite windy but also milder feeling – say around 9’C.
Next weekend is probably notably milder, say around 12’C or so, more likely often cloudy, some occasional rain but nothing too much, and perhaps some sunny spells.
The more likely outcome for the week after is a dry and mild start (perhaps even a little pre-spring “faux warmth”) – but becoming somewhat more unsettled once more in the second half of the week.
There are growing signals for March being drier than normal, though still with some short unsettled spells. A fairly recent signal so we’ll see if it remains in a week, and then maybe we can be more confident on it.





