Wednesday 11th March 2026

Fairly mixed ahead, nothing unusual for the time of year.

Apologies for being M.I.A. – my body decided against functioning for a few days. Therefore I haven’t checked the weather models for a few days either, so I’m a bit behind in my understanding of where we are.

Thanks to Kate for the photograph.

So we are back in a westerly flow, the jetstream has strengthened though is to our north, so the brunt of the wind/rain will be to our north too.

Today will be a reasonable day, sunny spells, variable amounts of cloud, breezy and around 12’C. Fairly clear skies overnight, though high cloud tending to build by dawn, down to around 5’C.

Thursday starts bright with hazy sunshine. Cloud will thicken during the morning, with some patchy rain in the afternoon. Notably strong winds too, from around lunchtime onwards – around 12’C. Some showery rain in the evening, the rain becoming generally heavier and persistent around late evening and into the early hours – it looks like there will be a squall line mixed in too, so a short spell, say 15 minutes or so, of very heavy rain and potentially damaging gusts of wind, roughly around midnight/1am. The rain then clearing around/before dawn. The squall line will introduce colder air – down to around 5’C once this passes through.

Friday likely starts cloudy, perhaps still some rain left to clear. Quite a bit of cloud will follow, some bright/sunny spells, some fairly innocuous showers around too. Feeling colder, around 8’C and breezy. Some cloud, some clear spells overnight – down to around 1’C, a frost possible especially in more sheltered spots.

Saturday starts sunny. From around late morning onwards, cloud will tend to thicken as a weak weather front crosses, perhaps bringing a shower or two, but still some bright spells likely. Around 10’C. Clear skies for a time overnight and chilly, tending to cloud over later. Down to around 2’C.

Similar set-up still on Sunday with the westerly flow, though the Azores high trying to nudge towards us.

Some uncertainty but fairly likely there is a weather front bringing some outbreaks of rain at times during the day. Breezy and around 10’C.

Monday probably dry or mostly so, perhaps more on the cloudy side and around 11’C.

The more likely outcome for Tuesday is dry and cloudy, or at least often cloudy – and around 11’C or so.

The more likely outcome for the rest of the week next week is for high pressure to build, so staying dry or mostly so, temperatures respectable for the time of year – say 11’C to 15’C, depending on cloud/sunshine amounts – which is very uncertain at this stage.

Certainly potential for some more very pleasant early spring weather…but we could easily end up with lots of cloud stuck underneath the high instead.

No strong signals for what follows, and still waiting to see if the sudden stratospheric warming event that happened will have any effect down here in the troposphere, and if so what effect. My guess is that high pressure will build to our north, but that doesn’t really help determine what our weather will be for late March onwards.

Next forecast should be on Sunday, hopefully feeling more human by then.