The next batch of rain is incoming for around 9pm onwards, which will be heavy at times, perhaps briefly very heavy/squally.

However, it the the potential for some damaging gusts in a very localised area that I’m writing about.

The higher-resolution models all seem to have a defined hook shape which suggests there is a chance of a tornado somewhere over the south, south-east or central England, and damaging gusts of wind somewhat more widely, though again in a localised manner. Most places will likely avoid such damaging gusts.

I do stress that any tornado which occurs, if it occurs, will be in a very small area – ie maybe a 1 mile stretch somewhere over south, south-east or central England. Damaging gusts would be a bit more widespread, but still only some areas. Most likely, it will just be a bit windy…but the risk of some damaging gusts of wind is there.

Timing roughly around midnight, and would only be for a short spell.

Impossible to give any more detail.