Another cold week with some possible wintry surprises.

I hope you enjoyed your snowfall (well, I assume you all got at least a slushy and temporary covering). I know I said I would update on Saturday, but I was consumed by migrating multiple websites, and trying to take advantage of the sunlight to start painting. Plus, I still wasn’t sure – it was very marginal, though I think my more likely outcome from the day before was more or less alright.

Thanks to Sue for the photograph.

We start the week with low pressure in charge, but this will pull away towards Scandinavia and allow cold air to flood back south.

Monday therefore starts cloudy with outbreaks of rain, generally not heavy but the odd heavy burst possible. A small chance of some sleet/wet snow mixed in, but mostly it should be rain. Also some strong winds too. From around late morning, or a little after, the rain will have cleared and the sun will come out – with some cloud too, but definitely some sunshine. An outside chance of a shower. 12’C to start the day, dropping to around 3’C as the rain clears, perhaps squeezing 5’C in the sunshine later, and the wind lessening as the day goes on. A fairly cold night overnight, down to around 1’C – probably too much cloud and wind for a frost, but a marginal call. Also a chance of one or two wintry showers – don’t be surprised if there is a light covering of snow in places in the morning, say a 40% chance of catching a wintry shower.

Tuesday will be another rather cold day, though a mixture of sunny spells and areas of cloud, rather breezy too. A 30% chance of a shower making it this far inland – if early in the day then more likely wintry, if in the afternoon then more likely rain. 5’C. Clear skies for most of the night, widely down to around -2’C, perhaps a bit more in places. Some high cloud by dawn.

On Wednesday we get to play the will it snow game again. A bright start to the day but cloud will thicken as low pressure pushes up from the south-west again (or tries to).

Will it get this far north is the first question? Probably but it’s a close call, it could stay to our south and stay cloudy here.
Will it turn to snow? Again, probably, but don’t be surprised if there is some rain to start.
How much snow, if it snows? Probably not much, maybe 1cm tops.

Temperature around 2’C. This will move away overnight, skies clear and the breeze turns northerly, widely down to around -3’C, but possibly colder. Ice may well be problematic, especially if it has snowed, or even rained during the day.

Thursday looks mostly sunny, a bit of cloud. Temperatures struggling to around 2’C – feeling colder in the northerly breeze. Clear skies for much of the night, and a widespread frost. Roughly down to around -3’C but a bit colder is certainly possible. Some high cloud by dawn.

For Friday we have another low pressure system, of sorts, trying to move in.

So a fairly cloudy and cold day is expected, perhaps some hazy sunshine at times. The weather front looks like it will decay – perhaps fizzling out before it arrives, or perhaps bringing a bit of light snow – or light rain (too marginal to call) but limited precipitation either way. Around 2’C. Cloudy overnight.

Details currently sketchy for the weekend, but I’m fairly confident high pressure will hang on, probably it remains cold, though maybe a degree or so less than during the week.

Possible there is a weather front around bringing a bit of rain (maybe some wintriness but less likely) – more likely it remains dry.

Uncertain on cloud/sunshine amounts for the weekend.

Into next week, more likely high pressure hangs on, but also more likely fog returns and it remains dull but mostly dry, bar a little drizzle. Something milder possible, but more likely around 5’C give or take.