An unsettled but mild start of the week – though tending to become drier later in the week.

Thanks to Sue for the photograph.

We start the week very much in westerly mode, with low pressure towards Iceland.

Outbreaks of rain to start on Monday, this will clear east by around late morning/lunchtime. This will be followed by sunny spells and scattered showers, perhaps heavy – say a 70% chance of catching one or two. Mild and breezy, 13’C. Clear spells at first overnight but cloud will build – perhaps some rain towards dawn, though will mostly be further south than here. Down to around 5’C.

Tuesday starts fairly cloudy, perhaps a splash of rain. This will clear to leave sunny spells and fair-weather cloud, quite a bit of cloud, and around a 30% chance of a shower. Cooler air around so reaching 9’C, maybe 10’C, and generally quite breezy. Clear skies at first overnight, though cloud building later – down to around 2’C.

Wednesday sees a band of showery rain crossing, right from the start – perhaps arriving just before dawn. Cloudy with occasional showery rain is the theme, some heavy bursts possibly mixed in – a bit more in the way of sunshine from mid-afternoon onwards though showers will remain possible. Breezy and cool, around 9’C. Reasonably clear skies overnight, though some cloud around, down to around 2’C, give or take.

By Thursday, high pressure makes an attempt to build from the south-west (not something I was especially expecting previously).

Some sunny spells but likely more cloud overall. Temperatures still fairly low, 8’C, maybe 9’C – it is still winter, of course. Clear skies overnight and a frost likely, down to around -1’C – fog patches possible.

Friday starts sunny in places, foggy in others. The fog will lift to bring sunny spells, though quite a lot of fair-weather cloud bubbling up, especially for mid-afternoon. Around 9’C. Clear skies overnight and a frost likely, down to around -1’C – fog patches possible.

Saturday and the first day of meteorological spring looks pleasantly sunny. The odd fog patch first thing will clear if you have one, then sunny with a bit of fair-weather cloud in the afternoon, and a bit of high cloud floating around at times. 9’C, maybe squeezing a 10’C. Some cloud around overnight but more likely sufficient clear spells for a frost, down to roughly 0’C.

Sunday probably has more cloud around, some uncertainty this far away but I’d guess more cloud than sunshine overall. Around 10’C, maybe 11’C.

High pressure should hang on into next week, and temperatures should tick up a little bit more, perhaps almost feeling like spring. Oooh! More confidence on the high pressure than the temperatures though, that will depend on favourable positioning of the high.

Probably this followed by a more unsettled spell, say later next week – but that’s 10 days away which is a very long time.