Thursday 2rd June 2021

Staying very warm, often sunny – but there are some showers in the mix too.

Thanks to Victoria for the photograph.

Tonight sees quite a lot of mid-level cloud, perhaps even a spot of light rain this evening. Down to around 14’C – a small chance of importing the left-overs of continental thundery showers by dawn.

Friday has a bit of uncertainty – thunderstorms over the continent will extend their reach to the eastern parts of England as they drift north, and there is always some uncertainty on their track. Most likely we’ll end up with quite a lot of medium level cloud, some occasional sunny breaks and possibly some occasional light/moderate showery rain – but it will depend on how far west it stretches.

So we could end up sunnier than this, or we could end up generally cloudier and wetter, perhaps with a rumble of thunder. Temperatures will depend on sunshine amounts, and hence quite how far west the rain reaches, so maximum temperatures anywhere between 15’C and 21’C – quite humid too. Cloud mostly clearing overnight, down to around 11’C.

For Saturday we are back to warm sunshine. There will be some cloud bubbling up in the afternoon, but broadly warm and sunny – around 22’C. Fairly clear skies overnight, down to around 11’C.

By Sunday the picture remains that high pressure is in control, though not the strongest ever build.

Plenty of sunshine again, but fair weather cloud will bubble up – likely more than on Saturday with a 15% chance of catching a heavy shower in the afternoon. Warm. around 22’C. Variable cloud overnight, down to around 13’C.

Monday again sees sunny spells, but quite a bit of cloud will bubble up. A greater chance of heavy showers developing, and I’d estimate around a 30% chance of catching one or two – perhaps very heavy with a small chance of thunder too. Very warm, 23’C, perhaps a shade more. Variable amounts of cloud overnight, down to around 13’C.

Similar again for Tuesday, sunny spells, some cloud bubbling up and around a 25% chance of catching a heavy shower – a small chance of thunder. Very warm, around 23’C or so. Variable cloud overnight, down to around 13’C.

Wednesday, Thursday and Friday should remain very warm with sunny spells. Some cloud bubbling up and a small chance of a heavy shower. Around 24’C, maybe a tad more. Clear spells overnight, down to around 13’C.

Next weekend is quite a way away – most likely it remains mostly settled with sunny spells and a small chance of a shower, though perhaps becoming less warm – that bit more uncertain.

I will get my summer forecast written this weekend!

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