Thursday 27th April 2023

Finally some warmth! But some cloud and showers too, so don’t get too excited.

Thanks to Kate for the photograph.

Tonight sees showery rain, occasionally heavy, for the first half of the night, mostly dry later in the night, bar the odd spot. 9’C and breezy, though becoming a tad milder as the night goes on.

Friday finally sees something a bit warmer push up from the south.

Cloudy to start the day, some bits of lightish showery rain around though dry most of the time. Slowly some breaks in the cloud will appear, and gradually during the afternoon it will become sunnier – rather pleasant by the end of the day. Reaching around 18’C. Some clear spells overnight, though mist/low cloud forming towards dawn, perhaps some fog patches. No lower than around 8’C.

Saturday sees any early mist/fog/low cloud clearing, leaving sunny spells and some cloud. A 20% or so chance of a heavy shower in the afternoon – I think the risk is further west/north than here, but worth considering. Reaching around 17’C, maybe 18’C. The showers further west/north may spread our way in the evening and overnight, around a 30% chance, but otherwise a mixture of clear spells and cloud, down to around 6’C.

Sunday should start with hazy sunshine. Cloud will bubble up, though there will still be reasonable amounts of sunshine, if hazy at times. The shower risk again mostly further west/north, but around a 30% chance of catching a heavy shower, a 10% chance that actually we catch quite a few. 18’C seems feasible. A few showers around in the evening and overnight, though still a chance of staying dry. Down to around 9’C.

Bank Holiday Monday starts on the cloudy side. The cloud should break up fairly readily, with good sunny spells in the afternoon. A few stray showers may break out over England, say a 20% chance of one. Reaching around 18’C, maybe 19’C. Our first 20’C of the year might just be out of reach, though a small chance. Reasonably clear skies overnight, down to around 8’C.

Tuesday sees high pressure in control, though otherwise details a bit sketchy – there’s another attempt to push colder air down from the north at the same time that there will be another attempt to push warmer air up from the south. Probably more cloud than sunshine overall, temperatures anywhere between 14’C and 22’C – though somewhere in the middle probably more realistic.

Wednesday perhaps sees a hint of an easterly flow as high pressure moves north-east. Again uncertain on cloud amounts and maximum temperatures, somewhere between 13’C and 19’C, with somewhere in the middle more realistic. Likely dry though.

Same kind of story for Thursday, likely dry but otherwise uncertain. Slight differences in wind direction and the source of air in a probable easterly can mean the difference between 12’C and 20’C this time of year.

The chance of showers increases for the Coronation weekend and especially the week after. Otherwise no real confidence on temperatures for next weekend – same story really with a wide range of possibilities – not especially unusual 9-10 days away, and especially typical for this time of year.

Enjoy your extended weekend, and the relative warmth. Alas, I’m up north, where it will be cooler with heavy showers. C’est La Vie.

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