Thursday 1st April 2020

So, it’s cooler in time for Easter. But it will be dry until Monday. There will be decent spells of sunshine. And Sunday should just about reach t-shirt with cardigan temperatures.

And the Arctic blast arrives for Easter Monday.

Thanks to…oh…all that sunshine and not one photograph received. I guess I’ll share one of my local area in NW London then.

Tonight sees variable amounts of cloud, temperatures down to around 3’C – there should be too much cloud for a frost.

Good Friday sees high pressure close by to our north-west, with a cooler north-easterly flow.

There will be cloud at times, especially in the morning, but also some decent spells of sunshine – those more likely in the middle part of the day. A cool breeze but reaching 12’C and not too bad really. Becoming cloudy again overnight, down to around 4’C.

Saturday starts cloudy. The cloud will break up to leave good spells of sunshine but some uncertain as to how long that will take – it may be sunny by lunchtime or it may take until well into the afternoon. Temperatures reaching between 10’C and 12’C. Some clear spells overnight with a frost possible – somewhere between 0’C and 3’C depending on cloud amounts.

For Easter Sunday we get rid of the cloud, so with long spells of sunshine and slightly milder air around it should be a reasonably pleasant day. Don’t get too excited – keep your jumpers and jackets to hand, 16’C will be pleasant enough for the time of year. Sunshine becoming hazy later in the afternoon. Some showery rain arriving by dawn, perhaps briefly very heavy – and perhaps falling as sleet or wet snow after initial rain. Around 8’C until the cold air arrives by dawn.

For Easter Monday we will be in a proper Arctic blast.

Early showery rain, sleet or perhaps wet snow will clear to sunny spells and wintry showers. How many showers there will be is uncertain – anywhere from none to many. They could easily fall as sleet, snow or hail – especially in any heavy showers so a temporary covering is possible – very temporary as the sun is fairly strong now. A small chance of thunder too. Around 6’C and feeling colder in a strong northerly wind. Mostly clear overnight, a widespread frost, down to around -2’C.

Tuesday starts sunny but frosty. Plenty of cloud will bubble up with a small chance of a shower or two – again, they could be wintry. 6’C in a cold northerly wind, though not so strong. Probably clear and frosty overnight, temperatures down to around -3’C.

Wednesday remains on the cold side. Probably quite cloudy, some sunshine, around 8’C or so. Frost possible overnight, depending on cloud amounts.

Thursday looks like low pressure will be spreading down from the north/north-west. Quite a bit of cloud, a bit of rain, windy – but less cold, say 10’C Cold overnight.

However, it looks like Thursday’s low pressure will have re-introduced colder Arctic air for Friday. Lower confidence by this point, but colder, say 7’C with a few showers – possibly wintry. Overnight frost very possible.

Moderate confidence for next weekend – currently it looks like high pressure will build from the west to bring dry weather, probably more sunshine, but still rather cool with overnight frosts very possible.

This is the somewhat more likely outcome – something colder with wintry showers, or cool and wet are the other plausible outcomes.

For Beer Garden re-opening week, I’m hopeful of reasonable dry weather and around average temperatures for the time of year, perhaps squeezing warm by the end of the week – but that is a long time away!

Generally for the second half of April I’m hopeful for more warmth and more sunshine – but still some mixed weather, some showers, some cooler days also.

May likely continues the mixed theme – a short cold northerly spell will be possible, more likely early on, some decent sunny days too, generally more likely first half – some showery day, more likely second half. Warm at times, not warm at other times.

That same kind of mixed theme currently looks like the most likely outcome for summer. There isn’t really a set likely pattern at the moment x month being warmer, x month being more unsettled. We will see warm sunshine, we will get short heatwaves, we will get showers and even general cooler spells.

Really the only strong signals for May onwards are for mixed conditions, but overall it should be a bit drier and sunnier than normal.

Enjoy your Easter weekend. Time for a glass of red wine for me. Well…a second glass.

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