Thursday 18th July 2024

Briefly hot, then back to changeable, though not too much in the way of rain – and warm/very warm in general.

Thanks to Zara for the photograph…from when I received a few sunny photographs but didn’t have any sunny weather.

We start the forecast with a fairly weak ridge of high pressure over us and the near continent – the next low pressure is approaching, but as it does, it is dragging hotter air up from Spain/Portugal towards us.

So a taste of summer, but nothing more. Today starts with a fair amount of medium-level cloud around, but with bright/sunny spells. This theme of often hazy sunshine continuing all morning, though cloud tending to break during the afternoon to bring clearer skies. Quite hot, around 27’C. A fairly warm night, eventually getting down to around 14’C.

Friday again starts with some high/mid-level cloud, making sunshine hazy at times. Generally this clears, some fair-weather cloud may bubble up but generally it should be a glorious day, full of sunshine. Hot, 30’C, maybe 31’C. Cloud slowly thickening overnight as a weather front approaches, so a warm night, and no lower than 16’C.

There’s quite a lot of uncertain on specific details for Saturday, but generally the theme is for a weather front to slowly approach from the west. This likely brings some level of cloud in the morning, some hazy sunshine too, perhaps a shower though unlikely. In the afternoon, the cloud should (I stress should) break up to allow more in the way of sunshine, with temperatures reaching around 27’C, and likely more humid too. A small chance of a heavy, thundery shower – but more likely if they break out, they do so further north-east than here. In the evening and overnight, the weather front crosses bringing cloud, and perhaps a bit of light rain, and the odd scattered heavy shower. A warm and fairly uncomfortable night, around 18’C.

Sunday may see some cloud and patchy rain to start, but this will clear, if it already hadn’t. Follows will be sunny spells and fair weather clouds, a fresher feel and temperatures around 22’C – so still warm. Clear spells at first overnight, cloud thickening later, down to around 13’C.

By Monday we see the next low pressure system arriving, though again a fairly weak affair and likely to our north. The Azores high ridging a bit into Europe, and the hottest air seemingly rebalancing away from the south-east of Europe to the south-west – perhaps early signs of a broad-scale pattern change.

Details again a bit patchy for Monday, but broadly speaking a weak weather front crossing, bringing a fair amount of cloud, some patchy rain – but also there should be some sunny spells, and assuming so then we’ll reach around 23’C.

Tuesday probably a mixture of sunny spells and variable amounts of cloud – perhaps slightly more cloud than sunshine overall, and around 22’C – give or take.

Wednesday probably dry, uncertain on cloud amounts and likely warm – around 23’C.

Thursday becomes more uncertain, I think a weather front approaching – but the timing could be during the day, with some cloud and rain, or in the evening/overnight with a very warm and bright day first.

Next weekend is highly uncertain – it could be fine and warm, it could be showery, there is also a small chance of a short hot spell.

There seems hints of a pattern change, possibly I’m reading too much into it, but I’ve certainly got some hope for more settled weather in August – though I have done for some time now. If I’m right, it will be the best month of the summer, at least for the majority who want it warm, dry and often sunny – not everyone likes summer as much as I do!

I’m not saying to expect a classic summer month, just something decent. And it isn’t that bad in the meantime!

Enjoy the brief heat, if you can.


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