Thursday 17th February 2022

Storm Eunice is on her way.

Thanks to Chickena for the photograph.

Tonight sees outbreaks of rain from around midnight, perhaps a stray shower before. Much of the rain light, though some heavyish bursts towards dawn. Winds becoming strong towards dawn, and becoming milder towards dawn too, around 7’C this evening but 11’C by dawn.

Friday sees Storm Eunice cross the country.

Morning rain will clear quickly to sunny spells, with another band of cloud and patchy rain around lunchtime, and then more sunshine and perhaps a shower.

Winds are expected to gust widely around 70mph, a small chance of 80mph gusts in places. 70mph gusts are easily enough for widespread disruption and plenty of damage – fences down, trees/branches down, some roof tiles falling – etc. If you go outside – be careful! It’s not for me to advise you, I’m just a bloke with a weather blog, use your own judgement. I shall be staying inside – it will be pretty wild outside. Then again, I stay inside during those hours most days as I’m working. Hmmm…wonder if my Ocado delivery for 1pm will happen?!

Anyway, the strongest of the winds will be roughly 10am to 4pm, perhaps the very peak winds 11am to 1pm, but a bit of guesswork there. By 6pm it should be normal strong winds – I expect to go for my early evening walk with no more risk than any other evening.

Mild in the morning at 11’C, colder in the afternoon at around 7’C.

Mostly clear skies overnight, the winds continue to abate though never less than a fresh wind, 2’C.

Saturday starts sunny. A band of heavy rain will cross roughly between 10am and 1pm, perhaps a touch of sleet mixed in. Sunny spells and scattered heavy showers follow, I wouldn’t rule out a rumble of thunder. Strong winds during the band of heavy rain, and occasionally gusty after. 8’C. Clear spells and light winds in the evening, down to around 2’C, becoming cloudy and windy once more after midnight.

Sunday will be cloudy with rain erratically moving down from the north-west. In the morning the rain should be mostly light/moderate and patchy. Some heavier bursts in the afternoon, perhaps briefly very heavy, though it remains showery. Strong winds again, gusting around 50mph, maybe 60mph by late afternoon – so there could be further damage/disruption, though not to the extent of Friday. Milder, 11’C. Strong winds continue overnight, variable cloud, one or two passing showers around, down to around 2’C.

The strong winds continue on Monday.

Rather cloudy at times, though some sunny spells. One or two showers around, but nothing of note. 9’C. Clear skies at first overnight, down to around 4’C, clouding over as the night goes on with some bits of showery rain before dawn. Fairly light winds!

Tuesday morning looks mostly cloudy with some showery rain. Sunny spells follow and quite mild too, 12’C.

Wednesday looks like seeing a ridge of high pressure across the south – so it should be fair, some sunshine, some cloud, light winds and around 9’C.

Thursday currently looks like a band of rain will cross in the morning (perhaps Wednesday night) and this will introduce colder air from the north-west. Sunny spells probably follow, with one or two scattered showers – perhaps wintry showers, and windy too. Around 6’C.

Friday, probably similar to Thursday, though fairly low confidence on details right now.

The slightly more likely outcome for next weekend sees high pressure move up from the south – though I’m very low on confidence as I don’t see the jetstream calming down for a few weeks. I think it will move further north to leave us with a mostly dry March (hopefully warmer than normal too), but it may take a bite out of March first.

Have a good weekend – hopefully you won’t be doing too much clearing up.

And don’t forget to charge your phone!

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