Thursday 15th July 2021

Hot and sunny.

Honestly.

Thanks to Jonathan for the photograph.

Tonight sees cloud clearing, temperatures getting down to around 12’C.

Friday sees our high pressure nudge a bit further east, so we lose the northerly breeze which brought us lots of cloud in recent days.

Long spells of sunshine for most of the day, a little patchy cloud developing in places during the afternoon which will be hit and miss, some places seeing short cloudy spells, others staying glorious. 25’C, maybe 26’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 15’C.

Saturday again sees long spells of sunshine. A little bit of cloud bubbling up in places in the afternoon, but again hit and miss, some places staying glorious. Hot, 28’C feels realistic. Mostly clear skies overnight and a warmer night too, no lower than 17’C.

Sunday again sees long spells of glorious sunshine. A little bit of fair weather cloud possible and we should just about reach 30’C – which, if we do, I think is the first time this year? More in the way of cloud overnight so a warm night, around 18’C.

Monday sees our high pressure system a little to the north-west, which allows a weather front to scrape along the eastern side of the UK, bringing something a little fresher.

Still a reasonable day, a fair amount of cloud but also some decent sunny spells. One or two scattered showers will develop – they will be hit and miss but could be heavy. Still quite hot, around 25’C, maybe 26’C. Clear skies overnight, down to around 15’C.

Tuesday again sees sunny spells, but quite a bit of cloud developing especially around lunchtime/early afternoon. A small chance of a shower and still very warm, 24’C, maybe 25’C. Clear spells overnight, down to around 13’C.

Wednesday will see sunshine amounts increasing once more, and probably temperatures too. Still some fair weather cloud around but another pleasant day overall. Temperatures somewhere between 23’C and 28’C – depending on the position of low pressure to our west which could drag up something hotter – uncertain at this stage.

Uncertainty starts to increase from Thursday as a low pressure system to the west edges closer – which will determine temperatures and also shower chances in the latter part of next week and into the weekend.

More likely it stays sunny on Thursday, and very warm/hot – though I cannot discount thunderstorms or thundery rain arriving on Thursday or Thursday night.

More likely would be that thunderstorms or thundery rain arrives on Friday and staying showery for a couple of days after – but confidence isn’t especially high yet.

It should settle down again – I don’t expect this low pressure system to bring a change in the weather like the (non-thundery) low did in June at the end of the hot spell.

With plenty more fine, summer weather to end July and for a good chunk of August – though not perfect – not without showers/thunderstorms on a few days and temperatures will vary, sometimes warm, sometimes very warm/hot.

Enjoy the hot and sunny weekend, if you can. It feels like ages since I’ve been able to sit outside and have a beer on a weekend in the sunshine.

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