Thursday 15th February 2024

We reached 16.9’C today – unusually warm for the time of year. Staying mild with fairly mixed conditions.

Thanks to Sue for the photograph.

Tonight will be cloudy with some showery rain, the odd heavy burst possible, though dry much of the time. Mild, 11’C.

Friday sees high pressure nudge in, though the Atlantic is gearing up with low pressure not far away, and the jetstream strengthening.

Sunny spells and variable amounts of cloud throughout the day, one or two showers bubbling up through the lunchtime period, but otherwise fairly pleasant for February – with longer spells of sunshine likely by late afternoon. Very mild, 14’C is achievable. Clear skies for the first half of the night, more cloud after that. Down to around 5’C.

Saturday looks mostly cloudy, though some hazy sunshine at times is possible, along with the odd splash of light rain. Still very mild, 13’C, maybe 14’C. Some bits of rain in the evening, becoming heavier and more persistent after midnight. No lower than 10’C.

Some uncertainty for Sunday in terms of how quick the overnight rain clears – my semi-educated guess would be late morning, but it could feasibly be anywhere between dawn and mid-afternoon. Sunshine will follow, and temperatures will be very mild – up to 15’C. Assuming the rain clears, the afternoon could be really rather pleasant for February, but I stress the uncertainty on the time the rain clears. Reasonably clear skies overnight for a time, more cloud later, down to around 7’C.

Early cloud on Monday, perhaps a shower, will clear to sunny spells for the rest of the day – again becoming very pleasant but temperatures taking a dip, to a still above-average 11’C. Fairly cloudy overnight, and a chillier night – down to around 3’C, but very give and take.

High pressure hangs on into Tuesday, a lot of cloud around but some hazy sunshine at times. Becoming breezier, and reaching around 11’C, maybe 12’C. Perhaps some rain later in the day – but arrival time uncertain. Probably some rain overnight as a weak weather front crosses – heralding a change.

By Wednesday the jetstream sinks further south, and low pressure heads our way.

Likely a windy day, some uncertainty on the timing of rain – perhaps during the day, perhaps not until night, and staying mild, around 11’C.

Thursday likely remains windy with either rain or showers – likely still mild though.

Friday and into next weekend likely see a cooler flow, with temperatures back down to normal, between 8’C and 10’C. Windy with rain or showers. Colder nights, with a chance of a frost – depending on the location/timing of weather fronts.

Enjoy your weekend…and the mildness.

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