A few more quiet days, then unsettled next week.
Thanks to Kay for the photograph.
Tonight starts with broken cloud, thicker cloud after midnight as a very weak weather front sinks south. Fairly mild at around 12’C.
Friday sees high pressure remain in control, though cooler air will have sunk south behind the weak weather front.
A cloudy start, perhaps a splash of light rain in the morning, but by around lunchtime some sunny spells will develop. Generally fine in the afternoon – some cloud at times, some sun at times. Scraping 14’C. Some clear spells overnight, but cloudy at times too – perhaps a light shower – generally more cloud as the night goes on. Down to around 6’C.
Saturday looks pretty cloudy, though alternating between thicker cloud and thinner high-based cloud – the latter allowing some hazy sunshine at times. A tad warmer, 16’C. Mostly cloudy overnight, perhaps a bit of patchy light rain later in the night as a weak weather front pushes in from the west, around 11’C.
Sunday looks fairly cloudy as the overnight weak weather front continues to decay. There may be some occasional light rain, there should be some occasional sunshine. 17’C in a warmish south-westerly breeze – warmish for mid-October anyway. Mostly cloudy overnight, around 11’C.
Monday looks mostly cloudy, again, though with the benefit of some much warmer upper air than normal.
Perhaps some hazy sunshine at times in the morning, perhaps some showery bits of rain in the afternoon as weather fronts edge ever closer – details a bit hazy on arrival times of weather fronts. 17’C is feasible, maybe a shade more. Overnight probably seeing some showery rain, temperatures very mild at around 16’C and quite windy too.
A bit of uncertainty on details for Tuesday, likely to see some rain at some point but also there is a chance of some hazy sunshine at times. The unusually warm upper air, means 21’C is possible with sunshine, closer to 19’C if it remains cloudy – likely a bit humid also, and quite windy too. Heavy rain or heavy showers overnight, timing uncertain, windy and we should hang onto the relative warmth, 16’C.
On Wednesday we push away the warmth – it may hang on until later in the day, it may clear early in the day. Sunshine and showers will be the main theme either way, some heavy, hail possible, a small chance of thunder – with strong winds. Temperatures will depend on how long the warmth hangs on for, somewhere between 13’C and 18’C. Variable cloud overnight, down to around 10’C.
Thursday should remain showery, some sunshine, plenty of showers which could easily be heavy, squally with hail and thunder. Windy, around 15’C.
Friday is not certain, but it is looking more likely that we’ll see cooler (can I say “colder” yet?) air spread down from the north. More in the way of sunshine and fewer showers. Temperatures around 10’C. I hope my new coat arrives by then. Chilly overnight – perhaps just a little too early for a frost, but not far away – especially in more sheltered areas.
Weekend is uncertain – but if the northerly plunge happened, then cool but dry with some sunshine would be the most likely outcome.
Probably fairly mixed for the week after and to the end of October, though with a trend to drier conditions. Most likely becoming mild again.
November still looks drier than normal, but the early third or so may be mild (instead of previous expectations of colder than normal) – it will still depend on exact positioning of high pressure as it could end up in a cold, frosty, foggy kind of scenario.