Weather Forecast For Reading & Berkshire

The storm has gone and boring is back. Fairly cold, fairly dry and mostly cloudy this week.

Thanks to Chris for the photograph.

So the general picture to start the week sees the remnants of Storm Darragh towards Italy, and high pressure is building over the north of the UK – which should last in place until the weekend, if not longer.

Today will be mostly cloudy, some occasional bits of light rain, some sunny breaks also. Feeling chilly in the north-easterly wind, around 7’C. Cloudy overnight, the odd bit of light rain possible, around 6’C.

Tuesday will be mostly cloudy and mostly dry – bar the odd bit of light rain/drizzle. Around 6’C and still feeling rather chilly in the north-easterly wind. Mostly cloudy and mostly dry overnight, around 4’C.

Wednesday will again be cloudy all day, perhaps a little sunshine in the afternoon. 6’C in an easterly breeze. Mostly cloudy overnight though a few clear breaks possible – perhaps some drizzle by dawn, around 3’C.

Thursday again looks mostly cloudy, perhaps a bit of sunshine at times, and also a greater chance of some showers which should be on the light side of the spectrum. Around 7’C in fairly light winds. Probably cloudy overnight, around 5’C.

Friday probably will be cloudy all day once more, a chance of some light rain/drizzle at times, and temperatures roughly around 6’C. Perhaps less cloud overnight – which means a chance of frost/fog, though low confidence at this stage.

For the weekend, our area of high pressure slips towards south-east Europe, but a new area is waiting to the west.

Details still a bit sketchy for the weekend, but current thinking is that Saturday may have a weak weather front brining cloud and some patchy rain – though clearer skies once it has cleared. And temperatures around 7’C. Frost possible overnight.

Sunday more likely to see sunshine, or hazy sunshine – depending on how close weather fronts are to our north.

Aforementioned weather fronts will arrive at some point early next week (well, almost certainly will) – though high pressure may hold them away for a day or two. Once they break through, an unsettled week is probable.

I’ll be back later in the week.…

Fairly mixed and ordinary weather ahead, though mild this weekend.

Thanks to Karen for the photograph.

So we start the forecast period with high pressure close to our east (would be pretty glorious if a summer month) – low pressure to our west which is going to squeeze past to the north of the UK during the weekend.

Friday starts reasonably sunny though a fair amount of high cloud which will make it hazy at times – becoming completely sunny as the day goes on. Still on the cool side despite the southerly breeze, 9’C. A weak weather front will cross in the evening and overnight, bringing mostly cloud but perhaps the odd splash of rain. No lower than around 6’C.

Saturday starts mostly cloudy, perhaps a spot of drizzle. The sun should come out in the afternoon to an extent, though likely still quite a lot of cloud around – some uncertainty on cloud amounts, certainly possible it stays mostly cloudy all afternoon too. Much milder, 14’C. Mostly cloudy overnight, a bit of rain possible before dawn as a weather front edges in.

Sunday sees a weather front slowly cross from west to east, so a cloudy day with some showery rain at times – not always raining, some of the rain fairly light but potentially some heavy bursts mixed in too. Likely some sunshine before the end of the day. Around 12’C and breezy. Reasonably clear skies overnight, a small chance of a passing shower and down to around 8’C.

Monday sees the wind swing more to the north-west, quite a bit of cloud around – some bits of rain, but also some sunnier breaks too. Cooler, around 9’C and breezy. A frost possible overnight, though probably clouding over later in the night.

Tuesday should start dry but probably on the cloudy side. It looks like a weather front will cross either later in the day, or evening/overnight bringing rain – timing currently fairly uncertain. Reaching around 7’C.

Low confidence on details for Wednesday – more likely dry with some sunshine, though perhaps still some rain to clear in the morning, depending on the timing/track of Tuesday’s low. Around 8’C.

Low pressure probably takes over again for Thursday/Friday so more rain likely at some point.

Perhaps high pressure back for the weekend.

Generally – think changeable, rain at times, dry and sunny at other times, though the longer-term trend should be for drier conditions to be more often in place.

I will be doing the winter forecast soon…maybe this weekend.…

Not a dry week, but a calmer week this week – the cold has gone, but the mild will disappear too.

No photographs so you’ll have to have one of mine – from the joy that is Oxford Street on a wet and windy November afternoon. Don’t worry…I wasn’t going shopping.

So we start the week with Storm Bert heading into Scandinavia, and high pressure will weakly form behind it.

Cloudy to start the day, but this will quickly move east to be replaced by sunny spells and a bit of patchy cloud. Around 11’C and breezy, if not quite windy at times. Clear skies at first overnight, though an area of cloud and perhaps a shower crossing through the middle of the night – down to around 5’C.

Tuesday looks mostly sunny. A bit of patchy cloud and then some high/mid-level cloud developing later in the afternoon as the next low pressure approaches. Around 9’C. An area of rain spreading across overnight – likely some heavy bursts mixed in, perhaps some very heavy rain briefly. Around 5’C.

Wednesday starts cloudy, probably still some rain at dawn (and perhaps heavy) – timing as to when it clears is uncertain, and could broadly be any time from 6am to 1pm when it finishes raining. A very small chance of some sleet/wet snow on the back edge. Likely quite windy, generally pretty chilly too – around 5’C. Maybe some sunshine by late afternoon, but again, timing on when the little low pressure clears is uncertain. Skies clearing overnight and a frost probable, more likely down to around -1’C, give or take. A small chance of fog forming.

By Thursday, our little low is in the North Sea, and high pressure is building behind it – but the next low pressure system, a rather huge system is spinning away in the Atlantic (which actually spawned Wednesday’s low pressure…kind of spat it out in a meteorological way).

Thursday should be mostly sunny if a bit on the chilly side. Some high cloud likely at times, perhaps a bit of patchy low cloud but mostly sunny. 7’C at best. Some high cloud pushing east overnight so uncertain how low temperatures will go, but more likely around 0’C which will mean frost possible, and a small chance of fog forming too.

Friday most likely bright with hazy sunshine – weather fronts trying to push in from the west but not getting anywhere. Around 8’C, maybe a tad more. Probably on the cloudier side overnight, down to around 4’C – though not especially confident on details.

Some uncertainty for the weekend, but it does look like high pressure will strengthen and keep the low pressure at bay.

Probably sunny on Saturday or at least on the sunnier side of the spectrum, and around 8’C or so. Probably clear skies overnight – so a frost possible and down to around 0’C.

And probably the same or similar for Sunday – sunny or on the sunnier side of the spectrum and around 7’C or so.

Not especially high confidence for the weekend – high pressure wouldn’t need to be much weaker for weather fronts to make more progress with cloudier skies with some rain – it is still a plausible outcome.

My expectation remains for high pressure to be around more often than not in December, so conditions often settled and calm. Though you’ll find out more about my winter expectations fairly soon…the seasonal forecast is nearly due.…

One more cold day before milder, wetter and windier weather arrives, with Storm Bert.

Thanks to Karen for the photograph.

So the general picture sees us in this cold northerly-ish flow for Friday – Storm Bert way out to the west.

We start Friday with sunny spells though also some patchy cloud – a small chance of a light wintry shower. Generally mostly sunny for the rest of the day, though high cloud will build later in the afternoon. Another pretty cold day, reaching around 6’C but the breeze making it feel colder – especially first thing. A frost at first tonight, down to around 0’C but temperatures will climb from there as cloud thickens further, with outbreaks of rain starting from around 4am.

Saturday starts with some rain – most likely light/moderate rain, and quite patchy so not always raining in the morning. The rain generally more persistent in the afternoon, and occasionally heavy too – but there could still be some drier spells mixed in. The wind strong from mid-morning onwards, 40mph gusts so the odd tree branch down – that kind of level. Chilly to start the day but temperatures will continually rise – reaching 13’C by the evening. Further outbreaks of rain overnight, some heavy – and the wind stronger, 50mph gusts possible, so the odd fence panel down, etc. Around 14’C though, so much milder.

Sunday has some uncertainty over exactly where the trailing weather front will be, and hence where and when the rain will be focused. However, there will be rain, it could be heavy/very heavy at times – it could rain all day, or just parts of the day, but rain it will. Also some uncertainty on the strength of winds, most likely up to 50mph gusts, but an outside chance of something stronger, say 60mph gusts which would be more disruptive – do keep an eye on any warnings the Met Office issue. Around 15’C. Rain slowly easing east in the evening/overnight, some uncertainty on timing – and winds easing too, though remaining breezy. Around 9’C.

The rain should have cleared by Monday morning, though a small chance that it is still hanging around at first. Otherwise sunny spells, some cloud, still windy and a chance of a blustery shower or two. Around 10’C. Showers still possible overnight, down to around 5’C.

High pressure should try to build over the UK by Tuesday.

So Tuesday should be a reasonably sunny day, some cloud and around 9’C. More likely clear and frosty overnight – though there is a chance of an area of rain spreading up from the south-west.

Wednesday is uncertain – there may be a small low pressure system nearby which would bring rain, though I’m not convinced on the modelling of it – it could easily not exist, and just be sunny. 50/50.

Thursday and Friday more likely see high pressure holding on, probably on the sunnier side of the spectrum, say around 9’C – frost probable overnight.

Low pressure somewhat more likely to then push through at some point next weekend, bringing some wind and rain, and milder conditions. Though not for certain, maybe high pressure can hang on a bit longer. Say 70/30 roughly in terms of percentage chances.

Have a good weekend.…

Wet to start the week but then becoming notably colder with a significant Arctic blast on the way – though plenty of sunshine. Snow not impossible.

Thanks to Tara for the photograph.

We start the week with a northerly flow setting in, though low pressure just to our west will get here first.

The overnight rain has cleared away – plenty of cloud left over but there should be some bright/sunny breaks at first this morning, before cloud thickens from the west. Rain arrives around 2pm, and will be fairly persistent and moderate, a few heavy bursts at times. Around 8’C and breezy at times. The rain turns to showers by late evening and overnight, milder for a time at around 11’C.

Tuesday starts cloudy – some showers around though some uncertainty on this. Most likely rain, though some sleet or wet snow not impossible in the mix. There’s still quite a bit of uncertainty as to when it clears, it could clear during the morning, or it may hang on into the afternoon – once it does clear sunny spells will replace it. Around 5’C. Reasonably clear skies overnight, and becoming frosty – perhaps some ice in places, down to around -1’C.

Wednesday will be sunny but cold – reaching around 4’C in the northerly breeze. Clear skies overnight and a sharp frost – widely down to around -4’C, a few spots even lower.

Thursday mostly likely is mostly sunny and certainly cold – around 4’C. An outside chance of a wintry shower but I’d be surprised if any made their way this way inland. Into the evening there is a small chance, say around 15%, of a spell of rain, sleet and/or snow moving across the south – low confidence on this. Otherwise, expect a frost.

Friday again broadly looks sunny, some cloud possible at times, an outside chance of a wintry shower. Around 5’C. Cloud thickening overnight and becoming windy too, as low pressure approaches. Some uncertainty on timing and angle of approach – the latter meaning rain is more likely as it stands, but a different angle of approach could mean snow turning to rain.

Normal service resumes for the weekend as a large area of low pressure takes over.

More likely everything falls as rain, but certainly a chance of a spell of snow to start – timing uncertain, it could start any time from say 2am to 9am. A thoroughly wet and windy day expected – the rain heavy, perhaps very heavy, the winds strong, perhaps gale force. Disruption possible both through the chance of snow to start, and then the wind. Becoming much milder, potentially up to 15’C by the afternoon.

Further rain or showers likely on Sunday/Monday, some uncertainty on temperatures but roughly in the range of 7’C to 10’C more likely.

Uncertain for next week, though more likely we should trend towards high pressure being in charge, so back to more settled and dry weather is the more likely outcome.…

Another couple of fairly benign days ahead but much colder air arrives from the Arctic for next week, wind, rain, some overnight frosts…and maybe some sleet or snow. Quite a bit of sunshine too.

Rain is far more likely than snow this far south, especially given that it isn’t even a winter month yet – that we are even talking about a small chance shows this upcoming Arctic blast packs more of a punch than usual.

Pretty much the opposite of the boring weather we’ve had for the last few weeks.

Thanks to Christel for the photograph.

The general picture right now sees high pressure still in control, though strengthening over the Atlantic which will allow the colder air to spread south next week. Low pressure still near Spain/Portugal.

Friday starts mostly cloudy. This will break up during the morning to leave some sunny spells, though still some cloud around. Reaching around 10’C. Fairly clear skies for much of the night, though more cloud by dawn. Down to around 3’C.

Saturday is mostly cloudy as a weather front sinks south – the first sign of change. Some bits and pieces of light rain, but dry most of the day. Something a little more persistent in the way of rain in the evening, but still fairly minimal amounts. Around 10’C, maybe 11’C. Cloud breaking up somewhat overnight, down to around 4’C.

Sunday sees a mixture of sunny spells and cloud. A little cooler, around 9’C. Mostly cloudy overnight – some rain spreading south later in the night though fairly sporadic. Around 5’C or so.

Monday should be cloudy and wet, as a quickly developing low pressure heads down from the north-west – and likely mild, at around 12’C. However, there is still a bit of uncertainty as to the track, and it could be a bit further south, with much lower temperatures – but likely still rain though. Windy also. Further rain and showers overnight, potentially some heavy showers. Around 8’C.

And then let the cold air flood south.

Low confidence on details for Tuesday, possibly still some rain to clear in the morning, an outside chance of a little back-edge wintriness as it clears, but most likely rain. Then becoming colder, but sunnier, from the north. Potentially still 10’C in the morning, closer to 5’C once the rain clears. Reasonably clear skies overnight, down to around 0’C, a frost possible and a cold wind too.

Wednesday should be sunny but colder, in a northerly breeze/wind. An outside chance of a wintry shower and reaching around 5’C. Frost likely overnight, down to around -1’C or lower.

The more likely outcome for Thursday will be to remain cold and sunny, around 5’C. However, there is a chance of low pressure crossing the south, which would bring a spell of rain, and perhaps snow – something to keep an eye out for, but will be a few days before we can get a handle on this possibility. Frost likely overnight, down to around -1’C or lower.

Friday more likely will remain sunny but cold, around 5’C. Again, overnight frost probable.

Much milder air, with wind and rain, will likely try to push up from the south next weekend – whether it succeeds is highly debatable, but I’d suggest 60/40 odds that it does. Which would bring another small chance of snow on any leading edge of a weather front, before it turned to rain – depending on how the air masses interact.

Lots going on next week, and some uncertainty on details as close as 2-3 days away. Do keep a close eye on professional forecasts if you have plans on Monday, Thursday or next weekend – though I will update if anything changes in terms of snow potential – at the moment each event remains just a small chance down here.

Enjoy your weekend.…