A warm and sunny start to the week – temperatures dropping from Thursday, and dropping quite significantly as Easter progresses.

Thanks to Paul for the photograph – believe it or not, nobody has sent me a sunshine photograph yet!

Tonight sees clear skies, down to around 3’C.

For Tuesday we will be in a warm southerly flow, with high pressure to our south-east. Pretty much the perfect set-up if you want warm sunshine (or a heatwave in summer).

It will be gloriously sunny all day. 20’C will be reached, perhaps 22’C. Mostly clear overnight, down to around 8’C.

The warmth hangs on into Wednesday. Good spells of sunshine, a bit of cloud around, 20’C should be reached again – perhaps a shade more. Clear spells overnight with a chance of fog by dawn, down to around 6’C.

Thursday likely starts rather cloudy with some fog in places. This will lift into sunny spells, with the warm air just about hanging on in the south of England, we should reach around 17’C – though anything from 13’C to 20’C is realistic. An easterly breeze will pick up taking the edge off how it feels later. Quite cloudy overnight, down to around 5’C.

Good Friday sees much cooler air spreading down from the north, with a north-easterly breeze. Cloud amounts uncertain at this stage – an educated guess would suggest more in the way of sunshine in the morning, more in the way of cloud in the afternoon. Around 12’C. Fairly cloudy overnight, down to around 3’C.

Saturday sees high pressure to our west, but ridging across the UK also. Again, cloud amounts uncertain but more likely to be mostly cloudy than any other outcome. Assuming so, temperatures around 10’C. Certainly possible for something a bit sunnier and milder than that though. Chilly overnight – a frost possible depending on cloud amounts.

Easter Sunday starts to see Arctic air head towards the UK.

Again cloud amounts are uncertain, but I have more hope for sunshine, especially in the morning. Temperatures still likely disappointing at around 11’C – but something a little milder not out of the question if the cold air to our north is delayed a little more than currently looks likely (a week ago it looked like it would arrive by Thursday…now Sunday night…so a further delay could happen!). Colder air then likely arrives either evening or overnight, some rain with perhaps some sleet or wet snow mixed in – temperatures down to around 0’C.

Easter Monday looks like it will be cold – around 7’C in a northerly wind. Showers possible – and they could be wintry, but details uncertain.

Next week will likely be cold – not guaranteed, but by some way the most likely outcome. Rain or showers at times, sleet or snow possible.