High pressure in control this week, so drier than it has been – but still some rain and showers around.

Thanks to Tara for the photograph.

We start the week with Storm Ashley pulling away, which wasn’t and was never going to be much of a feature for the southern half of Britain, and high pressure to the south-west which will move this way over the next couple of days.

Monday starts cloudy due to a weather front straddling the far south-east of England and northern France – we may see a little light rain at times from this, but more likely we’ll stay dry. Brightening up later, though probably not until the end of the day. Around 14’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, a small chance of some mist/fog patches by dawn, and down to around 7’C.

Tuesday starts sunny. A weak weather front will cross late morning onwards, with some cloud and a few scattered showers – around a 50% chance of catching one or two – but still some sunny spells also. Around 15’C or so. Clear spells overnight – fog developing more widely in the early hours, many places foggy by dawn, but not all. Down to around 6’C.

Wednesday starts with fog/mist/low cloud for most, if not all areas. It will take a while to lift, but it will by late morning at the latest, followed by sunny spells, fair-weather cloud – one or two light/moderate showers around through the lunchtime period, a 40% chance of catching one, drier and sunnier later. Around 16’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, though becoming quite breezy so fog unlikely – down to around 9’C.

By Thursday we see high pressure having moved over to central/eastern Europe, with a more southerly flow for us. A cut-off low also forming to the south of the main low pressure system near Iceland – which will complicate our weather.

Thursday sees areas of cloud moving east, though there will be some bright/sunny spells at times, and temperatures around 16’C, maybe a bit more – under the influence of the southerly flow. Some rain/showers probably overnight, though uncertain on details – around 12’C.

Low pressure in charge for Friday, so sunny spells and showers the more likely outcome – but it will depend on exact positioning of the low, so something more cloudy possible. Around 14’C.

Low confidence on details for Saturday, but broadly Friday’s low should decay and we’ll pick up more of a westerly flow – which means likely we’ll be on the cloudier side of the spectrum, some bits of rain possible but nothing especially wet likely. Around 14’C.

Again details are sketchy for Sunday as it will depend on the timing of weather fronts – which could be anywhere between overnight Saturday and Sunday afternoon. So broadly speaking in a westerly flow so perhaps quite windy, some outbreaks of rain at some point and around 14’C or so. Sunny spells following the weather front – whenever that is!

The same kind of pattern next week of high pressure broadly in control, with some bits of rain as weather fronts skirt around – though perhaps more of a chill in the air. Some overnight fog very possible next week.

Have a good week.