Monday 17th January 2022

High pressure remains in control so mostly dry, settled with some frost and fog on some nights.

Thanks to Jules for the photograph.

Clear and frosty to start the night – fog developing in some places from late evening onwards, and many places by dawn. Broadly down to around -2’C.

Tuesday sees high pressure in control, centred over Belgium though starting to build to the west of the UK too.

It will start frosty and/or foggy. Fog will take quite some time, perhaps all morning to clear for some – though some spots may see some morning sunshine. Generally cloudy in the afternoon. Around 8’C for most, though closer to 4’C in any spots where fog lingers. Mostly cloudy overnight, down to around 4’C.

Wednesday starts cloudy, a weak weather front may give a little light rain. Sunny in the afternoon, some bits of cloud around, quite windy too and feeling colder as somewhat colder air moves south-east. Around 8’C. Mostly clear skies overnight, down to around 1’C with a frost in places.

Thursday will be mostly sunny, just the odd bit of cloud floating around. Feeling notably colder in a light northerly breeze, 4’C. Mostly clear skies overnight and a fairly sharp frost, down to around -3’C.

Friday sees sunny spells though some cloud at times, especially in the afternoon. Still on the cold side, 6’C. A frost probable overnight, though a bit of uncertainty on cloud amounts – down to around 0’C.

Saturday remains dry and settled. Sunny spells, some cloud likely at times, around 7’C. Frost probable overnight, small chance of fog.

Sunday sees the UK remain a magnet for high pressure – I keep saying this, but if only it were spring/summer. Probably sunny or at least sunny spells and some cloud, around 7’C. Frost probable overnight, fog possible.

Next week high pressure should remain on the scene, so more of the same. Perhaps another short colder snap (like as described for Thursday above) at some point, but mostly temperatures around normal – some sunny days, but some cloudier days (especially if fog slow to clear). Frost likely at night, fog some nights also.

This general pattern should continue through much of February, though with high pressure further south, so at times we’ll see remnants of weather fronts bringing bits of rain – with the main rain bands towards Scotland or even further north of there. And as February goes on, the days become longer, the chance of something more spring-like will increase.

Currently, March looks like it will be sunnier than normal, much drier than normal and warmer than normal. Temperatures will depend on the exact positioning of high pressure which is impossible to forecast exactly for next week let alone 6-10 weeks away, but I’m certainly hopeful of something pleasant/very pleasant. Unless events cause it to change…though the main threat, a sudden stratospheric warming, looks very unlikely.

Possible that we are at the beginning of a long drier than normal spell.

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