One hot day, then staying very warm, quite often sunny, sometimes cloudy and not much rain in the forecast.

Interestingly the models have gone from a situation a month or two ago where they’d suggest high pressure a week away, only for another low pressure to appear – to now, where they show low pressure a week away, yet high pressure more or less clings on.

The general picture starts with low pressure close to our west, and the kink in the jetstream which has allowed it to drag up hot air from Spain.

Some areas of mid-level cloud at times during today, especially this morning – an outside chance of a shower. Otherwise plenty of sunshine, also some fair-weather cloud bubbling up this afternoon, when it should stay dry but there is a tiny chance of a thunderstorm developing somewhere over south-east England. Hot, getting to around 32’C which would make it the hottest day of 2024 – 35’C could be recorded near Cambridge. A warm start to the night but it will cool down as fresher air crosses, eventually down to around 13’C.

Tuesday looks mostly sunny, with some high level cloud making it hazy at times, and then slowly cloud thickening later in the day as a weather front approaches – the remnants of ex-tropical storm, Debby. Very warm, around 25’C. Cloud and bits of rain slowly spreading across overnight, any rain most likely light but possible we get a heavy burst or two mixed in. A fairly warm night, around 17’C.

Wednesday looks rather cloudy, with bits and pieces of light rain, possibly the odd heavier shower. Cloud breaking up somewhat in the afternoon, bringing sunny spells later. Some uncertainty on how much sunshine we get, and hence temperatures – but assuming we get at least a bit of afternoon sunshine then reaching around 23’C. Reasonably clear skies overnight, and down to around 13’C.

Thursday sees the next weather system crossing the north of the country, whilst we just about stay dry once more. Hazy sunshine will be the theme, with cloud likely thickening later in the day as a weather front approaches. Some uncertainty on temperatures again, as it depends on how quickly the thicker cloud arrives, but roughly around 24’C, give or take. Some rain for a time overnight, around 14’C.

Same kind of broad picture for Friday and into the weekend – a westerly flow with the jetstream notable, low pressure to our north, high pressure continuing to nudge in from the south-west.

Perhaps still some cloud/rain to clear first thing on Friday, then sunny for much of the day, with a little cloud. Very warm, around 24’C. Reasonably clear skies overnight, around 13’C.

Saturday likely starts sunny, but then sees a fair amount of cloud bubbling up, likely more cloud than sun for a while. Then more sunny spells later. Still warm, around 23’C, give or take.

Sunday broadly similar to Saturday, perhaps a bit more sunshine and a bit warmer.

I see no reason for this broad pattern to change for the start of next week, however it does look fairly likely that there will be a hurricane going up the east coast of USA next week – which could then have an impact on our weather later next week or into the bank holiday weekend. Whether that is positive or negative it is far too early to judge!

Have a pleasant week, and do make the most of the good weather, if you can.