Friday 1st April 2022

A fairly unsettled spell ahead – cold to start, mild to follow, then a battle between the two air masses. Your early taste of spring warmth has long gone, and may take quite some time to be back in any consistent format.

Thanks to Christel for the photograph.

Tonight will see fairly clear skies though there will be some cloud at times. Frosty, down to -2’C and a small chance of some mist/fog by dawn.

Saturday starts to see high pressure building from the west.

Sunny spells and fair weather cloud, some showers around though less than the last two days, and you could easily miss them. Showers more likely of rain, but a wintry mix possible. Around 9’C with a cold breeze. Clear skies overnight and a fairly sharp frost for April standards, down to around -3’C, give or take.

Sunday starts sunny. Quite a lot of cloud bubbling up with more cloud than sunshine from around late morning onwards. A small chance of a stray afternoon shower and reaching around 9’C. Cloud thickening overnight with some rain arriving before dawn, down to around 4’C.

Monday sees a mild sector of air spread down from the north-west. Some patchy rain at times, mostly in the morning though the odd splash still possible in the afternoon, and mostly cloudy therefore, though the odd bright spell in the afternoon possible. 13’C and quite windy. Remaining cloudy overnight, around 10’C.

Tuesday will be mostly cloudy and still mild at around 14’C. A little brightness at times, and likely some sunny spells before the end of the day – likewise a little rain possible in the morning, though hit and miss. Mostly cloudy overnight, a little rain possible by dawn, down to around 8’C.

Wednesday starts cloudy with a little rain possible, though mostly dry. Some sunny spells follow but with plenty of cloud and a small chance of a shower. Mild and windy, around 14’C. Mostly and increasingly cloudy overnight, rain possible by dawn, down to around 7’C.

Thursday sees a battle start between milder air to the south and colder air to the north – with the jetstream running over the south of England.

Rain probable at times on Thursday though some uncertainty over the track – it may be to our south.

Friday might see rain spread up from the south-west, though uncertain – there is an outside chance that it could fall as sleet or snow. Very uncertain temperatures – anything from 1’C to 15’C possible!

Next weekend is very uncertain due to the battle of air masses. I’d suggest something on the cool/coldish side is more likely than mild, and fairly dry with some showers is more likely than outright wet or dry. But uncertain.

No strong signals after that, though I suspect that colder northerly/north-westerly flows will return at some point. The odd warmish day or two could be mixed in during the rest of April, but the trend for the next few weeks looks more likely to see temperatures around normal or below, and no long-lasting dry spells.

We might even need to wait until June for another long warm spells…thanks to the strong final warming event in the stratosphere recently.

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