Thursday 28th April 2022

The weather is set to remain fairly uninteresting – often cloudy and cool, but some brighter spells at times. Also some patchy rain on Sunday.

Guess it could be worse!

Thanks to Sue for the photograph…about as close to a cloudy sky as I could find in my inbox.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy, though a few clear spells later in the night. Down to around 5’C.

Friday sees high pressure remain in control over the UK, with low pressure to the west – though we start to see some energy split off from the low to the west and head towards Scotland.

Friday sees plenty of cloud once more and it will feel on the cool side in a light north-easterly breeze. Some limited sunny breaks, more likely first thing and from late afternoon onwards. Around 14’C. Skies clearing overnight and a chilly night, down to around 2’C – there will be a frost in more sheltered spots.

Saturday starts sunny. Quite a lot of cloud will bubble up from late morning onwards, but it will remain bright with some hazy sunshine. Around 16’C – the light breeze taking the edge off. Cloud thickening overnight with some patchy and mostly light rain after midnight. Down to around 8’C.

Sunday looks rather cloudy with bits and pieces of mostly light rain. Plenty of dry spells, the sun making the occasional appearance, if rather hazy, but generally cloudy with occasional bits of rain. Around 13’C, though that assumes a little sunshine. Mostly cloudy overnight though a few clear spells possible towards dawn (and a small risk of fog if so), down to around 5’C.

Bank Holiday Monday looks mostly cloudy – though some uncertain on cloud amounts. The more likely outcome sees it mostly cloudy with some limited sunny breaks, more likely early morning and late afternoon. Temperatures around 14’C. There is a chance, maybe, of it being slightly less cloudy, though still more cloud than sun overall, and closer to 17’C. Uncertain on cloud amounts overnight, down to around 7’C, though very give and take.

Two things start to happen next week. Firstly some colder air tries to spread down from the north, but secondly the Atlantic starts to awaken and this nudges high pressure east at the same time. And the interplay between this two aspects causes some uncertainty going forwards.

Broadly speaking, Tuesday looks fairly cloudy, but with some sunny spells. Temperatures around 15’C with a 30% chance of a shower.

Wednesday more likely looks fairly cloudy with some brightness, also some patchy light rain or showers possible. Temperatures are uncertain and will depend on any influence from the attempt at pushing cold air south – somewhere between 12’C and 18’C. A chilly night possible.

Thursday should see high pressure roughly over the UK. Still a fair amount of cloud likely, but half-decent spells of sunshine also. Temperatures somewhere between 14’C and 17’C.

By Friday and into next weekend the more likely outcome is that it is broadly alright, some decent spells of sunshine, temperatures on the up, say 17’C to 20’C, and a small chance of a heavy shower.

However, there is a small chance of another attempt at a northerly, with cooler, cloudier conditions instead.

No clear weather pattern follows this, some fairly mixed weather with some showery days, some warmer sunnier days, and some cooler days – the former two more likely than the latter.…

Monday 25th April 2022

The easterly flow continues, with high pressure to our north – though with lighter winds.

An easterly flow in winter pretty much guarantees cold, but at this time of year it can be pleasantly warmish. Likewise it can still be cool, particularly when low cloud rolls in off the North Sea. And we should see both this week – though some uncertainty on the extent of cloud.

Thanks to Christel for the photograph.

Any showers clearing this evening to mostly clear skies, temperatures down to around 3’C though the most sheltered spots may see a slight frost.

Tuesday sees high pressure to our north, low pressure to our south-west.

The morning will see good sunny spells, the afternoon seeing quite a lot of cloud and just a few sunny spells. Quite warm, 16’C, a small chance of a light shower but most places dry. A fair amount of cloud overnight though also some clear spells, down to around 4’C.

Wednesday starts with sunny spells, but it looks like a lot of low cloud will spread in from the North Sea, bringing fairly cloudy conditions with limited sunny spells for much of the day – though a little bit of uncertainty over just how consistent the cloud will be. Around 14’C, though an outside chance of closer to 16’C if there are more sunny breaks in the cloud than currently expected. Down to around 4’C overnight, give or take.

Thursday should see more in the way of sunshine though it is a close call. Certainly it is possible for extensive low cloud and temperatures close to 12’C, but more likely there will be some decent spells of sunshine, if perhaps hazy, and temperatures closer to 16’C. Variable cloud overnight and plenty of high cloud too, down to around 5’C.

I think from here I’ll stress the uncertainty over low cloud from the North Sea – don’t be too surprised if it ends up sunny and quite warm instead of cloudy and quite cool.

So Friday is more likely to see extensive low cloud with temperatures closer to 13’C. Overnight more likely clear spells and chilly, down to around 3’C with a frost risk in more sheltered spots.

The more likely outcome for Saturday is for it to be fairly cloudy, but some sunny breaks at times, especially early morning and late afternoon, and temperatures around 15’C. I stress again that it could easily be much cloudier or sunnier, with temperatures reflecting that if so.

Again the more likely outcome for Sunday sees some sunny spells, particular in the early part of the morning and late afternoon, though with quite a bit of cloud around too, with temperatures around 15’C. Again, it could easily be much cloudier – or much sunnier.

Bank Holiday Monday remains uncertain, though in a different way. More likely we end up with the wind direction becoming more northerly but how progressive any colder air moving down is uncertain. It could easily be chilly, around 10’C with showers as cold air moves down quickly – or it could actually be quite pleasant with cold air staying to our north, and sunny spells with the odd shower possible, and something closer to 18’C.

So the rest of next week depends really on how much influence the northerly (or attempted northerly) has, temperatures either fairly normal (say around 16’C) or a bit below normal (say around 12’C) – and showers are more likely.

Next realistic chance of any proper warmth will be around 8th/10th May, but that is only an opportunity as opposed to a prediction.…

Friday 22nd April 2022

Were it February, we might be calling the current set-up The Beast From The East. As it is April, temperatures will be fairly normal instead – though there is a frost risk for some nights ahead. And remaining fairly dry, though some showers.

Though things may cool down more later. I did say a few weeks ago that I didn’t have much hope for any significant spells of warm sunshine in April and May due to the strong final warming event of the stratosphere a month or so ago. We lucked out for Easter, and there will likely be some warm sunshine at times in May. But do keep expectations low for the next few weeks.

The same event has also sent the jetstream south – hence we are drier than normal, but Spain has been much wetter than normal. Those viewing on the website will be able to see a precipitation anomoly chart – purples are much wetter than normal, orange/red much drier than normal – this is for the last 6-7 weeks or so.

Thanks to Chris for the sunny photograph.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy. A few clear spells, maybe the odd spot of rain – but cloud dominant. Down to around 9’C.

For Saturday we see low pressure over France, and high pressure to our north – with a resulting easterly flow.

More cloud than sunshine overall, and more cloudy in the morning than the afternoon – there will be some sunny breaks, especially in the afternoon. Some showers will break out, around a 40% chance of catching one and they could be quite heavy. Quite warm, 18’C – but the easterly wind taking the edge off how it feels. An area of cloud spreading up from the south in the evening, perhaps a shower or two again, clear spells from late evening onwards. Down to around 8’C.

Sunday starts sunny. Quite a lot of fair weather cloud bubbling up from around lunchtime, more cloud than sunshine but still some sunshine and pleasant enough, despite the easterly wind. Around 16’C. It should be dry, just an outside chance of a short shower. Clear spells at times overnight, tending to be more cloud towards dawn, down to around 6’C.

Monday sees the wind become lighter but turn more north-easterly – and temperatures will drop. Some sunny spells but lots of cloud and quite a rash of showers – perhaps you’ll avoid them, but most places catching a few. 13’C. Clear spells overnight, down to around 3’C so rather chilly – a touch of frost in the most sheltered spots possible.

Tuesday starts sunny but lots of cloud will spread down from around late morning, and it will be mostly cloudy with the odd bright spell from then onwards. An outside chance of a shower, but most likely dry. 14’C. Clear spells overnight, minimum temperatures a bit uncertain as uncertain on cloud amounts – but somewhere between 0’C and 5’C – which does mean a chance of frost.

Wednesday is uncertain on cloud amounts, but more likely mostly cloudy than otherwise and as such, temperatures around 12’C. However, I wouldn’t rule out a partly cloudy day – or even a sunny day, in which case we’ll be closer to 15’C. Still uncertain on cloud amounts overnight, but more likely clear or fairly clear – which does mean a chilly night more likely with a risk of frost.

Thursday sees high pressure remain in control, probably to our north-west.

Again uncertainty on cloud amounts, more likely partly cloudy or rather cloudy – though all options open. Temperatures ticking up a bit, say 16’C. A chilly night likely.

Friday remains dry with high pressure in control and a light easterly wind. Uncertainty on cloud amounts remains, with anything from partly cloudy to totally cloudy possible, and hence temperatures could range from 11’C to 16’C (higher with less cloud). A chilly night likely.

Saturday will be similar with the notable uncertainty on cloud amounts. Temperatures somewhere between 9’C and 15’C, arguably more likely in the lower part of that range and depending on cloud amounts – it could be anywhere from partly cloudy to fully cloudy. Chilly overnight, perhaps a higher frost risk.

Sunday perhaps less likely to be cloudy, so more sunshine, though maybe a shower or two. Temperatures somewhere between 11’C and 17’C.

And for the week after? Well, maybe an Arctic blast, and generally an increased chance of showers, even if the Arctic blast doesn’t happen.

Bet you are all smiles after reading that, huh?

Well, there are suggestions that high pressure may orientate into a warmer position starting somewhere around 7th to 10th May, approximately. Overall I do expect may to be very mixed, some showery spells, some cooler spells, but also a some warm/very warm days too.

Tentative signs that summer might be warmer and sunnier than normal overall – though a fair mixture of usual summer conditions. Very early days for a summer forecast so take it with a huge pinch of salt, but I’m more hopeful than I was a month ago.…

Tuesday 19th April 2022

The bank holiday is over so now the good weather has ended? Feels like the wrong way around, but something cloudier and cooler for this week – though nothing especially bad.

The set-up for this week sees an easterly – not too dissimilar a pattern to The Beast From The East 4 years ago, but of course, it is the latter part of April now and easterly winds don’t often mean cold by now. And this time isn’t cold either – though cooler than it has been.

Of course, I mentioned that we had a strong final warming of the stratosphere a month or so ago, and just like the sudden stratospheric warming event of 2018 that led to The Beast From The East, the strong final warming is bringing a higher than normal chance of northerlies and easterlies – we had the northerly a couple of weeks back, now we have the easterly.

Further northerly/easterly based weather will be more likely than normal over the next 2-4 weeks.

Thanks to Paul for the photograph.

This evening and tonight will be fairly cloudy, a few clearish spells, down to around 7’C.

Wednesday starts fairly cloudy though bright, with hazy sunshine. Gradually and especially during the afternoon, sunshine amounts will increase to bring a pleasant day, reaching around 18’C – though the easterly wind making it feel a little less warm. Clear skies at first overnight though high cloud spreading up from the south from around midnight, down to around 6’C.

For Thursday we have high pressure to the north, low pressure to the south, with a notably easterly wind.

A reasonable day again, the morning seeing high/medium level cloud at times but bright with hazy sunshine. Some thicker cloud bubbling up in places around lunchtime – though hit and miss. Then increasing sunshine during the afternoon, though hazy at times. Reaching around 16’C, maybe 17’C, though a notable easterly wind taking the edge off. Variable amounts of cloud at first overnight, generally thicker cloud later, down to around 7’C.

Friday looks cloudier as the easterly digs in. A bit of uncertainty but more likely rather cloudy with some occasional light rain – though perhaps just cloudy at times with some sunny spells and showers instead. The easterly wind still notable and temperatures down to around 13’C, maybe 14’C. Likely at least fairly cloudy overnight, down to around 8’C.

Saturday is probably still at least quite cloudy, but I’ve more hope for at least some hazy sunshine and temperatures a bit warmer, say 15’C or 16’C, maybe a tad more – depending on sunshine amounts. The easterly breeze remaining and a heavy shower possibly drifting up from the south. Fairly cloudy overnight – the shower chance remaining as low pressure to our south edges a bit closer.

Sunday broadly stays within the same parameters, fairly cloudy, some sunshine albeit possibly hazy and a chance of a shower or two – though I’m purposefully hazy on details. The notably easterly wind remaining, and likely a tad cooler than Saturday, say 14’C or 15’C.

The more likely option for next week, at least the first 2-3 days is a cooler flow, either northerly or north-easterly, rather cloudy with some showers – temperatures somewhere between 10’C and 15’C. Overnight frosts possible.

How it progresses towards that weekend (which is also a bank holiday) is uncertain – though it often is 10 days away. It may remain cool, it may become very warm – or it could be unsettled. Perhaps the warm/very warm solution is the very slight favourite.…

Thursday 14th April 2022

It’s a rare morning forecast due to upcoming Easter fun – and a fairly rare fairly pleasant Easter weekend. There will be more mist/fog some days, a fair amount of cloud, the odd shower – but broadly pretty pleasant.

Well, except for those of us going to the east coast. Oh well. Guess I did go to California the other week.

Thanks to Liz for the photograph.

Today sees early mist/fog clear into hazy sunshine. Quite a lot of cloud will bubble up, more cloud than sunshine overall but it will remain broadly bright, with some sunny spells. And the cloud breaking up by evening. Warmer, 18’C maybe 19’C. A lot of high cloud overnight with mist/fog and low cloud developing before dawn, down to around 8’C – give or take.

Good Friday sees high pressure over Scandinavia, stretching towards the UK. It is close to a chilly pattern, so we are lucking out a bit this time.

Early mist/fog or low cloud will take a couple of hours to clear, but it will do so into good sunny spells. During the afternoon quite a lot of fair weather cloud will bubble up, though it will remain pleasant with sunny spells. Just a 10% chance of a stray shower. Probably the warmest day of the weekend, we should reach 21’C or so. Clear spells at first though mist/fog likely to form quite widely once more, though perhaps not as widely as the morning before, down to around 8’C.

Saturday starts with mist/fog in many places, particularly the further west you are. It will lift into decent sunny spells, though probably hazy, with the afternoon again seeing quite a lot of cloud around – bright but more cloud than sun. Warm, we should just about get to 20’C. Fairly cloudy overnight with a lot of high/medium level cloud, down to around 8’C.

Easter Sunday will be warm with hazy sunshine. Maximum temperatures a little uncertain, somewhere between 18’C and 21’C – depending on quite how thick the layer of high/medium level cloud is. A weak weather front may bring a little light rain overnight, down to around 8’C.

Easter Monday starts to see a change as low pressure pushes in from the west.

Exact conditions are a bit uncertain for Monday, and will depend on the progress of the overnight weather front. I think the slightly more likely outcome is that it is stalled over us and we have cloud with a little light rain, around 14’C, becoming brighter later – the slightly less likely outcome is that the weather front had cleared overnight on Sunday and we see sunny spells and fair weather cloud, a small chance of a shower and close to 16’C.

Low confidence for Tuesday through to Thursday, though it does look cooler, say between 11’C and 13’C. Otherwise it will depend on the positioning of low pressure systems – rain/showers look probable but far from certain. We could easily end up a few rather wet days – likewise it could just be dry, fairly cloudy and cool. Or something in between.

Perhaps something warmer for next weekend – but the uncertain shower/rain chance remaining.

Have a great Easter and enjoy the sunshine…well…the often hazy sunshine.…

Monday 11th April 2022

Warmer. But with some rain and showers at first. And Easter looks rather warm and rather pleasant – though some cloud/fog and maybe a shower or two mixed in with some sunny spells.

Thanks to Chris for the photograph.

Generally fairly cloudy this evening though some clear breaks at first. Showers will move up from the south after midnight, potentially heavy/very heavy with a small chance of thunder/lightning. Some places will probably stay dry though. No lower than 9’C.

For Tuesday we have a warm southerly flow, but low pressure close to our west.

Tuesday will therefore be rather cloudy with some showery rain at times, but plenty of dry weather. Any showery rain could be heavy – but I wouldn’t be surprised if some places stayed completely dry. Hazy sunshine possible at times, and more in the way of sunshine by the evening. A warmer feel, 17’C. Variable cloud overnight (though more towards dawn), one or two showers dotted around but many places staying dry. No lower than around 9’C.

Wednesday starts rather cloudy. Some bright spells and gradually things will improve in terms of sunshine amounts with some half-decent amounts during the afternoon. Also a scattering of heavy showers, say around a 50% chance of catching one or two. Warm – we might just squeeze 20’C, or close to anyway. Clear spells overnight, though mist and fog may form in places towards dawn. Down to around 5’C.

Thursday starts with mist/fog in places – hazy sunshine others. Any mist/fog will clear by around mid-morning to leave some hazy sunshine at times, though there will be lots of cloud around. Likely more sunshine by evening. Warm, around 20’C. Fairly cloudy overnight though some clearish spells, down to around 9’C. Mist/fog may form towards dawn, though less likely than the night before.

So Easter sees high pressure in control – starting over the UK and into Scandinavia. We are kind of lucking out as it is really close to being a chilly pattern – but we are probably due some good luck in terms of high pressure positioning after 2021’s debacle of a summer. Remember that cloudy August with a badly-positioned high pressure?

Good Friday is a bit of a mishmash of hazy sunshine and variable amounts of cloud. Perhaps some mist/fog early in the day but that will clear. A very weak weather front will be crossing, probably during the afternoon, which will bring somewhat thicker cloud for a time and perhaps a spot of light rain – but overall it will be reasonably pleasant, if far from perfect. Reaching around 20’C, give or take. Variable cloud overnight, some clear spells, down to around 10’C. Mist/fog may again form towards dawn.

Saturday again may start with some mist/fog to clear but it will leave decent amounts of sunshine. Some high cloud at times making it hazy, some fair weather cloud developing with a small chance of a shower – say no higher than a 20% chance. Warm – 22’C seems feasible, give or take a couple. Variable cloud overnight – mist/fog may again form by dawn. Down to around 8’C – very give and take though.

Easter Sunday looks reasonably pleasant. Sunny spells, perhaps hazy, at times – some cloud around too. Probably a shade less warm than Saturday, around 20’C. A very small chance of a shower.

Easter Monday is a little uncertain – possible that we start to see weather fronts trying to push in from the west at this stage. The more likely outcome is that it remains broadly pleasant, some sunshine, some cloud and a greater chance of some showers than during the weekend. Around 18’C to 20’C.

Cooler from Tuesday?

No strong signals for the rest of next week and into next weekend, but temperatures back around average, possibly slightly below, are more likely, say 12’C to 15’C with some showers.

Not sure when the next forecast will be due to Easter fun.…

Thursday 7th April 2022

Well, the colder air is back, but at least the weekend will be reasonably fine.

Thanks to Clare for the photograph.

Showers fading and skies clearing this evening, down to around 1’C with a frost for the more sheltered spots. Cloud thickening somewhat as the night goes on, with rain trying to push up from the south.

Friday starts cloudy, perhaps some hazy sunshine. I cannot totally rule out a spot of light rain, but it should be dry – the rain not quite getting this far north. From around midday there will be more in the way of sunny spells, though still cloud around and a small chance of a shower. Reaching 11’C but feeling chilly in the northerly breeze. Clear spells overnight, down to around 0’C with a frost for most, though perhaps more central urban areas escaping – close call.

Saturday sees high pressure building from the west.

Starting sunny, a fair amount of cloud will bubble up – roughly the same amount of cloud and sunshine during the rest of the day. A small chance of a shower but most likely staying dry. 11’C so still on the chilly side. Mostly clear skies overnight though some high cloud at times, likely frosty for all, down to around -1’C or so.

Sunday will feel a bit better, we’ll pick up more of a southerly breeze so temperatures around 13’C. Hazy sunshine mostly, some bits of fair weather cloud too, though a reasonably pleasant day overall. Fairly cloudy overnight, the wind picking up and down to around 4’C or so.

Monday sees low pressure trying to push in – but also bringing some warmer air. However this is quite a complex development so details are a bit hazy. The development of this low will pretty much decide whether we get a chilly or a warm Easter.

Monday looks fairly cloudy but bright with some hazy sunshine at times. A couple of afternoon heavy showers possible, though a bit of uncertainty on this development at the moment. Fairly windy but a warmer flow, 15’C should be reached – however there is a fair amount of uncertainty and something cooler is possible, closer to 11’C – but less likely. Fairly cloudy overnight, some showery rain likely, which could be heavy. Around 9’C.

Tuesday is likely to see further rain or showers, though details uncertain. Likewise temperatures are uncertain – they could be anything from 8’C to 18’C.

Wednesday is uncertain, though fairly cloudy, limited sunny spells and showers is the slightly more likely outcome. Again temperatures highly uncertain and could be anything from 7’C to 18’C.

Well, it is too uncertain to be worth attempting to go into detail from here, though there are broad patterns possible that I can outline.

One involves high pressure building to our south which would help with warmth and possibly sunshine. One involves high pressure trying to build to our north – which will make it cool. One sees low pressure trying to push in from the west – though this is a bit less likely.

It’s really down to what happens with the low pressure on Monday/Tuesday, and how that develops as to how and where high pressure builds.

So I’m afraid there is still no clear answer for Easter, however dry weather is more likely than wet weather, and warmer air is more likely than colder air. Which means the more likely outcome is at least some pleasant, warmish, sunny weather.

That said, all the usual possible spring outcomes are possible for Easter. Don’t plan the BBQ just yet…well…maybe do plan it but make sure you have an indoors just in case!…

Monday 4th April 2022

Mild to start the week but becoming colder once more – some rain at times too.

Thanks to Sue for the photograph.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy, the odd splash of light rain possible but mostly dry. No lower than 10’C with a bit of a breeze.

For Tuesday we have a westerly flow, though with a milder sector of air.

A lot of cloud around though there will be some limited sunny breaks – and more notably some sunny spells by late afternoon. Quite windy but mild, 15’C – pleasant in late afternoon sunshine. Clear spells to start the night, a weak weather front bringing cloud and a little patchy rain later in the night, quite windy and down to around 8’C.

Wednesday sees low pressure over Scotland, and this will drive showers our way too. A lot of cloud around in the morning, with showers or more general showery rain. More in the way of sunny spells in the afternoon, but a fair few showers around, which could be heavy. Windy, reaching around 12’C. Further showers likely overnight, with some colder air starting to filter south, down to around 5’C.

Thursday is more complicated as we have colder air pushing south, but also low pressure with milder air pushing north-east towards us.

The morning may start cloudy with some rain, but at the moment it is uncertain whether the low pressure system to the south will get this far north. So it could start sunny and chilly instead. I’d suggest around 60/40 in terms of chances.

Either way, sunny spells and a few scattered showers will push south for the afternoon – around 10’C, but feeling colder especially in any showers.

Again overnight there is similar uncertainty, with rain trying to push up from the south. This time it is around 50/50 as to whether we see some rain later on in the night and into Friday morning – with an outside chance of some sleet/wet snow mixed in. Or the other option being clear skies, perhaps on the hazy side, with a slight frost in places.

Similarly to Thursday, whichever outcome happened for Friday morning, I’d expect sunny spells and a few scattered showers in the afternoon, with temperatures around 9’C but feeling colder. Clear and frosty overnight, down to around -1’C.

For Saturday, we are still in the colder air mass but temperatures just about squeezing to 11’C. Some sunny spells, quite a lot of fair weather cloud and one or two scattered showers – though some places staying dry. Fairly clear skies overnight though some high cloud – a frost likely for most, down to around -1’C.

Sunday sees high pressure remain in control but low pressure will be approaching from the west. Generally hazy sunshine though cloud gradually thickening during the day. The breeze turning more southerly so temperatures and general feel improving, 12’C, maybe 13’C.

Next week looks potentially quite warm on some days – but with general rain or bands of heavy showers likely some or maybe most days, due to low pressure being close to our west. So we might get a few hours or even a day or two of pleasant warmish sunshine at some point next week, but generally it looks changeable – just warmer than this week. And, of course, this is a week away and definitely isn’t set in stone yet.

Thanks to the recent strong final warming event in the stratosphere, I still see most of April and May being fairly disappointing in terms of sunshine and warmth, with any prolonged settled and warm spells unlikely until June – but that doesn’t mean that we won’t see shorter warm/settled spells during this period, mixed between low pressure systems.

And perhaps some brief very warm spells towards the end of May – quickly followed by downpours though.

Overall though, I suspect we’ll end up with a fairly unsettled April and May, with temperatures balancing out around normal – but with some short pleasant/warm spells mixed in.…

Friday 1st April 2022

A fairly unsettled spell ahead – cold to start, mild to follow, then a battle between the two air masses. Your early taste of spring warmth has long gone, and may take quite some time to be back in any consistent format.

Thanks to Christel for the photograph.

Tonight will see fairly clear skies though there will be some cloud at times. Frosty, down to -2’C and a small chance of some mist/fog by dawn.

Saturday starts to see high pressure building from the west.

Sunny spells and fair weather cloud, some showers around though less than the last two days, and you could easily miss them. Showers more likely of rain, but a wintry mix possible. Around 9’C with a cold breeze. Clear skies overnight and a fairly sharp frost for April standards, down to around -3’C, give or take.

Sunday starts sunny. Quite a lot of cloud bubbling up with more cloud than sunshine from around late morning onwards. A small chance of a stray afternoon shower and reaching around 9’C. Cloud thickening overnight with some rain arriving before dawn, down to around 4’C.

Monday sees a mild sector of air spread down from the north-west. Some patchy rain at times, mostly in the morning though the odd splash still possible in the afternoon, and mostly cloudy therefore, though the odd bright spell in the afternoon possible. 13’C and quite windy. Remaining cloudy overnight, around 10’C.

Tuesday will be mostly cloudy and still mild at around 14’C. A little brightness at times, and likely some sunny spells before the end of the day – likewise a little rain possible in the morning, though hit and miss. Mostly cloudy overnight, a little rain possible by dawn, down to around 8’C.

Wednesday starts cloudy with a little rain possible, though mostly dry. Some sunny spells follow but with plenty of cloud and a small chance of a shower. Mild and windy, around 14’C. Mostly and increasingly cloudy overnight, rain possible by dawn, down to around 7’C.

Thursday sees a battle start between milder air to the south and colder air to the north – with the jetstream running over the south of England.

Rain probable at times on Thursday though some uncertainty over the track – it may be to our south.

Friday might see rain spread up from the south-west, though uncertain – there is an outside chance that it could fall as sleet or snow. Very uncertain temperatures – anything from 1’C to 15’C possible!

Next weekend is very uncertain due to the battle of air masses. I’d suggest something on the cool/coldish side is more likely than mild, and fairly dry with some showers is more likely than outright wet or dry. But uncertain.

No strong signals after that, though I suspect that colder northerly/north-westerly flows will return at some point. The odd warmish day or two could be mixed in during the rest of April, but the trend for the next few weeks looks more likely to see temperatures around normal or below, and no long-lasting dry spells.

We might even need to wait until June for another long warm spells…thanks to the strong final warming event in the stratosphere recently.…