Monday 29th March 2021

A warm and sunny start to the week – temperatures dropping from Thursday, and dropping quite significantly as Easter progresses.

Thanks to Paul for the photograph – believe it or not, nobody has sent me a sunshine photograph yet!

Tonight sees clear skies, down to around 3’C.

For Tuesday we will be in a warm southerly flow, with high pressure to our south-east. Pretty much the perfect set-up if you want warm sunshine (or a heatwave in summer).

It will be gloriously sunny all day. 20’C will be reached, perhaps 22’C. Mostly clear overnight, down to around 8’C.

The warmth hangs on into Wednesday. Good spells of sunshine, a bit of cloud around, 20’C should be reached again – perhaps a shade more. Clear spells overnight with a chance of fog by dawn, down to around 6’C.

Thursday likely starts rather cloudy with some fog in places. This will lift into sunny spells, with the warm air just about hanging on in the south of England, we should reach around 17’C – though anything from 13’C to 20’C is realistic. An easterly breeze will pick up taking the edge off how it feels later. Quite cloudy overnight, down to around 5’C.

Good Friday sees much cooler air spreading down from the north, with a north-easterly breeze. Cloud amounts uncertain at this stage – an educated guess would suggest more in the way of sunshine in the morning, more in the way of cloud in the afternoon. Around 12’C. Fairly cloudy overnight, down to around 3’C.

Saturday sees high pressure to our west, but ridging across the UK also. Again, cloud amounts uncertain but more likely to be mostly cloudy than any other outcome. Assuming so, temperatures around 10’C. Certainly possible for something a bit sunnier and milder than that though. Chilly overnight – a frost possible depending on cloud amounts.

Easter Sunday starts to see Arctic air head towards the UK.

Again cloud amounts are uncertain, but I have more hope for sunshine, especially in the morning. Temperatures still likely disappointing at around 11’C – but something a little milder not out of the question if the cold air to our north is delayed a little more than currently looks likely (a week ago it looked like it would arrive by Thursday…now Sunday night…so a further delay could happen!). Colder air then likely arrives either evening or overnight, some rain with perhaps some sleet or wet snow mixed in – temperatures down to around 0’C.

Easter Monday looks like it will be cold – around 7’C in a northerly wind. Showers possible – and they could be wintry, but details uncertain.

Next week will likely be cold – not guaranteed, but by some way the most likely outcome. Rain or showers at times, sleet or snow possible.…

Thursday 25th March 2021

I feel like the weather has been pretty boring for the last month or so, but it is about to become more interesting – a short unsettled spell, followed by a short warmish spell, followed by…just in time for Easter…yes…you’ve guessed it though you can wait until the end of this to find out.

This is also the last forecast before the clocks go forward – which is mostly a note of joy in my opinion, but it does mean that models come out an hour later, so hence forecasts will. I might even try doing them in the morning instead…I’ll see how I get on.

Thanks to Paul for the photograph.

Any scattered showers this evening will fade, some clear spells at first, but mostly cloudy with showers spreading up from the south-west a little after midnight. Around 8’C.

Friday morning will be mostly cloudy with a few showers. Either late morning or around lunchtime, a short band of heavy rain will cross for an hour or two, followed by sunshine and scattered showers, which could be heavy. 11’C in the morning, but down to 8’C once the rain clears – windy in the morning too. Quite cold overnight with variable cloud and a small chance of a shower, down to around 2’C.

Saturday starts sunny. Cloud will bubble up and will be mostly cloudy from lunchtime onwards, with the odd bright spell. It should remain dry, a spot of light rain at most. 10’C. Becoming windy overnight with variable cloud amounts – it should remain dry. 8’C.

Sunday will be a windy day. Some hazy sunshine in the morning, more cloud in the afternoon – again it should remain dry with weather fronts staying to our north, but the odd spot of light rain is possible. Milder, 13’C. Mostly cloudy overnight, around 10’C and still windy.

Monday sees warmer air nudging up from the south. Uncertainty on cloud amounts, but I’m hopeful for at least some sunshine. Around 15’C to 17’C, depending on how much cloud still around. Clear spells overnight, down to around 7’C.

Tuesday should be the first proper spring-like day. I say should, as it is a pretty close call, but at around a 65% chance it should be sunny and warm. Around 18’C – maybe even 20’C.

The uncertainty comes because colder air will be trying to spread down from the north on Tuesday, so there is a clash of air masses – and it seems likely that the colder air will win out, but it shouldn’t happen until Wednesday – we should get that one nice, warm sunny day!

My working assumption is that a band of rain will spread south during either Tuesday night or Wednesday – bringing colder air.

Thursday looks fair – some sunshine, some cloud. Around 10’C, perhaps less and feeling rather cold.

The pattern for Easter weekend isn’t yet set, but now is most likely to be cold. Around 70% chance cold, 15% chance warm, 15% chance average.

Assuming the cold pattern, then Good Friday looks cold in a northerly wind, some sunshine, some cloud, the odd shower – might even be wintry. Around 9’C. Cold overnight, a frost possible.

Saturday looks fairly cloudy with a northerly or north-easterly wind, showers, possibly wintry, around 8’C.

Easter Sunday would be cold with showers, which could easily be wintry. Yes – it could snow.

I’ll leave it there.…

Monday 22nd March 2021

The slow-burner of a spring continues – though we should get our first “quite warm” weather to start next week.

Tonight sees clear spells, down to around 2’C – perhaps a touch of frost in the more sheltered spots and a small chance of one or two fog patches.

Tuesday sees high pressure still in control. There will be a fair amount of cloud around, likely more cloud than sunshine overall – sunny spells more likely in the morning. Temperatures will depend on sunshine amounts, but 12’C to 14’C will be the range. Some clear spells at first overnight, but cloud thickening as a weak weather front approaches from the west, down to around 5’C.

Wednesday starts cloudy. The weak weather front will squeeze out a little bit of rain at times, but next to nothing in the scheme of things. Sunny spells will replace the weather front from the west at some point in the afternoon. Around 12’C. Clear spells overnight and chilly, down to around 2’C – a touch of frost in more sheltered spots, and a breeze starting to pick up.

Thursday sees some sunny spells, plenty of fair weather cloud and some scattered showers – around a 40% chance of catching one or two. 13’C and breezy. Variable cloud overnight, one or two showers, 7’C.

Friday starts with some rain – quite windy too. This will clear to sunshine and showers, some heavy, and some colder air too with temperatures around 9’C. Clear skies overnight, chilly – a frost possible.

Saturday sees high pressure start to build from the south. Likely starts sunny, likely becomes rather cloudy – with some sunny breaks though. Around 11’C or so. Some clear spells overnight, down to around 3’C.

Uncertain on cloud amounts for Sunday but I’m hopeful for at least some decent spells of sunshine, with some cloud at times also. Feeling quite pleasant, 14’C at a push.

Monday sees more of a southerly flow, which means temperatures will increase. Probably more sun than cloud, though it’s a week a away so no guarantee, temperatures between 16’C and 18’C.

Tuesday should stay quite warm with decent spells of sunshine. Temperatures between 16’C and 19’C.

Uncertain what happens in the short-term after next Tuesday – and for the Easter weekend. It could just as easily be a cold blast from the north, a continuation of the warmth of the start of the week, or something average but with some sunshine. Or maybe a mixture of the themes.

I did say in my spring forecast that the beginning of April had both signals for colder air from the north and warmer air from the south – so interchanging chilly/warm spells could be on the cards. And I still expect plenty of quite warm to warm, sunny weather for the rest of April.…

Thursday 18th March 2021

High pressure remains in control – but there will be a lot of cloud around and temperatures nothing special at all. The wait for something spring-like will have to continue.

Thanks to Christopher for the photograph.

Tonight will be mostly cloudy with a bit of occasional light rain, a chilly north-easterly breeze and down to around 5’C.

Friday starts cloudy – perhaps the odd spot of rain. Cloud will gradually break and thin somewhat from late morning onwards, but still quite cloudy. 10’C in a chilly north-easterly breeze. Clear spells overnight though cloud thickening towards dawn, down to around 2’C.

Saturday will be mostly cloudy. The odd sunny break at times, perhaps a spot or two of light rain. Around 10’C. Quite cloudy overnight though a few clear spells, down to around 5’C.

Sunday will be mostly cloudy. The odd sunny break at times, one or two scattered light showers. Around 11’C, perhaps squeezing a 12’C. Quite a lot of cloud overnight though some clear spells – down to around 2’C. An outside chance of a frost if a bit less cloud than currently expecting.

Monday will be…rather cloudy. A bit more hope for a bit of sunshine, mostly in the morning, but generally a lot of cloud, especially in the afternoon. A small chance of a light shower, 11’C. Some clear spells overnight, down to around 3’C.

Subtle changes for Tuesday as high pressure will have re-orientated to be to our east/south-east – which if there wasn’t so much cloud trapped under the high pressure could be vaguely pleasant.

Alas, lots of cloud. A bit of sunshine in the morning, but otherwise cloudy. 12’C, maybe 13’C at a push. Generally quite cloudy overnight, down to around 5’C – the odd spot of light rain possible.

Wednesday is uncertain – there is a fair chance of a weak weather front bringing some, yeah, cloud but also some general light rain – though equally this may pass through swiftly to be followed by some sunshine.

By Thursday we start to see low pressure edge closer to the north-west of the UK, which should bring a bit of a breeze and therefore should clear much of the stubborn low cloud of recent days. So a bit more sunshine, still some cloud, and temperatures around 13’C.

Low confidence by Friday, but perhaps some showers, some sunshine and something a little milder, say 14’C would be a reasonable call.

Very low confidence for next Saturday – the two more likely outcomes are either wet or sunny and quite warm. Quite a lot needs resolving first.

April should be a pleasant month with plenty of sunshine and things warming up. In time for Easter weekend? I’m not sure…but there is certainly hope.

Have a good weekend.…

Monday 15th March 2021

High pressure will be close to our west this week – bit of a mish-mash, fairly dry but some showers around – and becoming colder as the week goes on.

Thanks to Paul for the photograph.

Tonight will be rather and increasingly cloudy. A weak weather front bringing a bit of light rain by dawn, down to around 5’C.

Tuesday morning will be cloudy with occasional rain – mostly light or moderate. Brighter skies slowly spreading from the west as the afternoon goes on. Milder but breezy, 13’C. Chilly overnight with clear spells, down to around 4’C in a northerly breeze.

Wednesday sees high pressure still in control to our west. Generally quite cloudy, perhaps thick enough for a splash of light rain, but there will be some brightness too – especially in the morning. 10’C in a northerly breeze. Fairly cloudy overnight and increasingly so as the night goes on, down to around 5’C.

Thursday looks mostly cloudy. A bit of brightness at times, more likely early part of the morning – some light rain at times, most likely in the afternoon. Feeling pretty chilly in the breeze, 9’C. Cloudy overnight, the odd spot of light rain or drizzle possible, 6’C.

For Friday we’ll be in a pretty cold north-easterly flow – though the coldest air will be further south over France. A lot of cloud, a bit of light rain possible – hopeful for the cloud to push west late in the day so we end in some sunshine. Feeling pretty cold, around 8’C. Could be 16’C in Glasgow. Uncertainty on cloud amounts overnight – a frost very possible if not much cloud.

Saturday remains chilly. Likely a lot of cloud around but some sun possible in the morning. Around 9’C, maybe 10’C. Probably rather cloudy overnight – down to around 4’C, give or take.

Subtle changes for Sunday – the high pressure still close to our west but we’ve cut off the northerly and have a north-westerly flow, but one that originates from a milder source. Still likely a lot of cloud around, some sunshine, and temperatures between 12’C and 14’C.

High pressure should remain in control for next week, at least at the start of the week.

Some uncertainty on positioning and also cloud amounts, but arguably next week is more likely to start either mild and cloudy or quite warm and sunny.

How next week then progresses I’m unsure – though something colder from the north or east remains as possible as something mild/quite warm. Though mostly dry should remain the theme.…

Friday 12th March 2021

Well I think last night was the first time since the beginning of the pandemic that I just didn’t have enough within me to write a forecast. I started writing it but I’m just mentally drained at the moment. I guess I’m not the only one feeling that way?

I’m sure a couple of days of warm sunshine would help.

Alas, after a few showery days it will become dry again, but staying cool – in fact, becoming quite cold. Perhaps even cold enough for wintry flurries. Aha.

Let’s see how much I can manager to write. No photograph because…lockdown…pandemic…detox…meh.

Friday starts quite windy with some organised heavy showers. Sunny spells and more scattered showers follow, which could be heavy – overall more cloud than sun. 9’C and quite windy. Dry at first this evening, but a further cluster of showers from late evening until an hour or two after midnight, which could be heavy. Windy, down to around 3’C – mostly dry after the main cluster clears but the odd blustery shower still possible.

Saturday sees low pressure in the North Sea, dragging down a cooler north-westerly flow. Some sunshine, more cloud, plenty of showers around. Showers could be heavy, a small chance of hail or thunder – most places seeing at least a couple but some places may miss them. 8’C and windy. Clear spells overnight, still quite windy – a stray shower possible, down to around 3’C.

Sunday starts with some sunny spells. The odd scattered shower in the morning but mostly fine if still cool and windy. More cloud in the afternoon, some general showery rain likely to spread down from the north-west for a couple of hours either afternoon or evening – timing uncertain. 9’C and still quite windy. Fairly cloudy overnight, the odd shower possible, 7’C.

For Monday, high pressure will be building close to our west but this does mean a northerly flow for us. Generally rather cloudy – a few splashes of rain around but nothing notable, more likely in the morning – some brightness at times too, more likely later in the day. 10’C in a northerly breeze. Cloud amounts uncertain overnight – a frost possible if clear, otherwise just generally chilly.

Tuesday currently looks like rain spreading down from the north-west – though I’m not 100% certain on this. Around 11’C.

Wednesday looks drier – though still a chance of a the odd shower and quite a lot of cloud around. We may start to import something colder from the north-east too – around 8’C, give or take. A frost possible overnight if skies clear sufficiently.

By Thursday it looks like we’ll import a more north-easterly flow, so feeling pretty cold. Uncertain on conditions – probably quite cloudy and fairly dry – a bit of sun and the odd light shower possible. Around 8’C, perhaps less. Frost possible overnight depending on how much cloud there is – any stray shower could be wintry.

Friday again likely fairly cold – a mix of sun and cloud and the odd shower…perhaps wintry.

The most likely outcome for next weekend keeps it chilly but mostly dry.

High pressure will remain close by for the rest of March – positioning uncertain but more likely to our west more of the time – which would mean either a cool north-westerly flow with quite a lot of cloud and some showers, or a cold northerly flow with more sunshine and some showers also. We might get the odd pleasant, sunny and mild day if high pressure settles over us – but would need a bit of luck.

This pretty much ties in with my spring forecast and I still expect a drier and sunnier than normal spring overall – but we may need to wait until early April for any signs of warmth. Gosh they will be joyous days, won’t they?…

Monday 8th March 2021

An unsettled week ahead. Just the one.

Thanks to Chris for the photograph.

Tonight sees clear spells forming – temperatures down to around 0’C, with a frost for most by dawn.

High pressure clings on for Tuesday, with decent spells of sunshine all day. Some cloud at times and generally more high cloud later. A bit milder, 11’C. Chilly at first overnight but cloud thickening with some patchy rain after midnight – more persistent by dawn. Down to around 3’C.

Wednesday sees the Atlantic powered up – something we’ve not seen much this year due to the weak and broken polar vortex this winter – and the SSW.

Outbreaks of rain all day – more persistent in the morning, more showery in the afternoon. Windy and chilly too, 8’C. Occasional showery rain in the evening and overnight though gradually trending drier – becoming windier with gusts of 45mph possible overnight, and milder too, 12’C.

Thursday will be a windy day – again gusts of 45mph very possible which may bring the odd fence panel down, or tree branch – that kind of thing. Some sunshine but plenty of cloud and some blustery showers – which could be quite heavy. 10’C. Windy but less so overnight, clear spells and down to around 4’C.

Friday is another cool and windy day in the westerly flow – though not as windy as Thursday. Some sunny spells, plenty of cloud, and some blustery showers. 9’C. Cloudy overnight with rain – timing uncertain on arrival. Winds becoming strong once more, around 6’C.

Low pressure close to our north to start Saturday.

Strong winds, plenty of cloud and plenty of showers will be the game. Depending on the timing of the rain on Friday night, it may start more generally wet on Saturday morning also. 10’C. Windy and quite cold overnight in a north-westerly flow – down to around 2’C.

Uncertain for Sunday – high pressure should be starting to nudge up from the south, but weather fronts may still be close to the north. If pushed, I’d suggest quite cloudy with some patchy rain as the more likely outcome – though not as windy. But it could easily be cloudy/dry or sunny/dry.

Probably still some showers around for Monday but high pressure starting to push up from the south – centred towards our west. So sunny spells, some showers, around 11’C.

From Tuesday onwards high pressure is likely to be in control. Positioning not yet decided and will be key to the feel of things.

The most likely scenario sees it close to our west, so not the warmest position but not the coldest either – it should allow for decent sunny spells and temperatures somewhere between 12’C and 16’C.

High pressure likely remains mostly in control for the rest of March (well much of spring also), but as I keep saying, positioning is key – we could easily end up importing colder air from the east or north at times, as well as having some more pleasant and mild days too (hopefully at least one or two for my week off). Overnight frosts will remain possible.

Ahhh spring thoughts.…

Thursday 4th March 2021

Colder for a few days – becoming wet and windy next week.

Thanks to Chris for the photograph.

This evening sees a very weak weather front spread down from the north-east, which will give the odd lightish shower, then some clear spells will develop with a frost for many by dawn, around 0’C.

Friday sees high pressure sat over the UK with cold air filtering in from the east.

Some sunny spells to start but cloud will bubble up, and there will be more cloud than sun from late morning onwards – limited sunshine. A small chance of a light shower, 6’C. Clear spells developing overnight, down to around -2’C with a frost.

Saturday starts fair with some sunny spells. Lots of cloud will develop from mid/late morning onwards with limited sunshine. 7’C and chilly. Some clear spells overnight and a frost likely for most, down to around -1’C.

Sunday morning will see some sunny spells but quite a bit of cloud too. Mostly cloudy in the afternoon with limited brightness. Still on the cold side, 6’C. Some clear spells overnight though quite a bit of cloud, down to around 0’C with a frost likely for most.

Monday starts to see a change to a westerly flow. A bit of sunshine to begin but becoming mostly cloudy. Around 8’C. Some clear spells with a patchy frost overnight – down to around 1’C.

Tuesday looks mostly cloudy with a weak weather front crossing from the west – limited rain if any by time it arrives. Around 9’C. Proper rain spreading across overnight – timing uncertain at this stage, and becoming windy too.

Wednesday likely starts wet – though as I mentioned the timing of the overnight weather front is uncertain. Once this clears, sunshine and the odd shower will follow. Breezy and 11’C.

For Thursday it looks like we’ll be in a north-westerly flow with low pressure close to our north.

Windy with sunny spells and scattered blustery showers. Around 10’C.

Friday probably similar to Thursday.

Uncertain for next weekend – I am expecting the unsettled spell to be short, but not sure yet whether it will have the legs to carry on into next weekend.

High pressure should build close to the UK either around next weekend or into the week after, to make it dry and settled once more.…

Spring Weather Forecast 2021

Welcome to my Spring Weather Forecast 2021.

Spring is my favourite season – especially late spring and early summer when it is often very warm but not too hot, and there are chances of thundery downpours – my favourite kind of weather day.

It is, of course, still early days for spring and still rather chilly as I write – but at least there is blossom on some trees, daffodils are starting to shine – the hope that spring brings never tires, and after arguably the most difficult winter collectively for decades, it is nice to just see the beginnings of spring.

I’m actually quite happy with my winter weather forecast – these seasonal forecasts will never be perfect but I thought I did a good job. We had more cold spells than recent winters and though we didn’t quite get something like February 2018 – the models teased that could happen, the sudden stratospheric warming event happened but just didn’t split the polar vortex which is likely why we didn’t quite have that newsworthy cold spell that we would have referred to for years to come.

So as I mentioned, these seasonal forecasts are experimental – I will not get everything right. Think of them more as a general guide, my hope is to get more right than wrong. I am not a professional meteorologist.

As always, I’d kindly ask you to share this forecast in some way – I don’t ask for anything other than a quarterly share/retweet or whatever your preferred action is.

And the final bit of administration is to say thank you to Eve for this classic Reading in spring photograph. A donation has been made to British Lung Foundation.

Background signals

I think background signals are less useful in spring than they are in winter, but those of note include La Niña which is weak and trending towards neutral – though there is some uncertainty as to whether it may strengthen once more May onwards – one would assume the trend to neutral continues, but some models have suggested La Niña could strengthen which would increase chances of rain/showers come summer.

In the more short-medium term, the MJO is suggested that it may go into phase 8/1, which would support the idea of high pressure to our north (ish) later in March.

The sudden stratospheric warming event from January will likely still have some impact – I believe that it increases the prevalence of blocking highs through spring, and there is more cold air at mid-latitudes because of the SSW that could be tapped into during early spring.

Finally, the polar vortex is strengthening which should encourage the jetstream to head further north – taking low pressure systems with it, especially as the influence of the SSW fades.

So quite a mixed and conflicting set of background signals as always, but there is a theme and that is of high pressure being close to the UK more than normal – so a drier and sunnier spring than normal is expected. Getting the position of the high pressure systems – and hence the source of the air and subsequent temperatures is the challenge.


March starts dry and mild. Towards the first weekend colder weather will spread down from the north – nothing especially cold but still cold enough with overnight frosts – a chance of a light wintry shower.

For the second week this will be replaced by more unsettled conditions with spells of wind and rain, and showers in between – temperatures average or a little below. I wouldn’t rule out sleet or snow either in any more notable north-westerlies.

That unsettled spell should be short-lived and high pressure should take back over for the rest of March – positioning uncertain at the moment and it will vary a bit. When it is closer to the UK, it will be rather pleasant, mild and sunny – when further west it will be cooler, perhaps colder with showers – a 2-3 day northerly plunge with wintry showers could easily occur. I do think high pressure will be to our west or close to our west for more of this period.

Overall I expect slightly above-average sunshine, somewhat below-average rainfall and slightly below-average temperatures.

Confidence level of 80% – main issue is where high pressure sets up for the second half of March.


Again April looks likely to be dominated by high pressure – again there are questions over positioning.

The first half looks more likely to be fairly mixed – there is a signal for both warm southerly winds and cold northerly winds – both involve high pressure close by, so we should end up with interchanging cold/warm spells, with some heavy showers around but more emphasis on sunshine.

Later in April, there are suggestions of high pressure migrating west/north a bit, allowing a cooler and somewhat cloudier north-westerly flow to become more dominant – some showers again but more emphasis on dry conditions overall. Again high pressure position probably varying so some short warm spells could easily be mixed into the dominant cooler, cloudier pattern through this spell.

Overall I expect average sunshine, somewhat below-average rainfall, average temperatures.

Confidence level of 70% – again the positioning of high pressure systems is the tricky thing to capture, and possible that it may be a bit warmer at times than I’m forecasting.


Again May will see high pressure over or close to the UK for much of the month – and by May there will be less cold air around to tap into so it should be warmer than average for most of the month.

The first half should be warm and sunny for most of the time – some variations, the odd weak weather front may cross from the north-west bringing some light rain and cooler conditions as high pressure moves around a bit – there may be some dull and cloudy days mixed in too depending on wind direction, but generally the theme will be warm and sunny.

Later in May, low pressure to the south will increase the chance of heavy showers and thunderstorms developing – though it likely remains warm or very warm and sunny most days, some days will see those heavy showers or thunderstorms later in the day.

Overall I expect above-average sunshine, below-average rainfall (unless you get a particularly torrential downpour in the latter part of May) and above-average temperatures.

Confidence level of 75% – again high pressure positioning is the tricky part and certainly possible I’ve over-egged the warmth.

And summer?

Well, that will depend on how La Niña pans out.

Early suggestions are that June will be sunnier and warmer than average – but some unsettled spells too.

There are signals that July and August will be fairly changeable with more rain and showers than normal – and temperatures generally suppressed for summer – though with short heatwaves likely.

Summer is a long way away though, and there is plenty of time for these signals to change.

So your overall take from this should be a drier than normal spring, a sunnier than normal spring, a colder than normal March, mixed temperatures April and warmer than normal May.

Roll on the first weekend where I can sit in the garden and have a beer.

Don’t forget to share!…

Monday 1st March 2021

Staying mostly dry but becoming colder.

Thanks to Paul for the photograph. You still have time if you want to send me a photograph for the spring forecast – ideally add it to the Facebook post from Friday to keep them all in one place please!

Some clear spells at first tonight, but low cloud building as the night goes on with mist and fog in places by dawn, down to around 2’C.

Tuesday still has high pressure in control, centred to our east at the moment with a light southerly breeze.

Starting cloudy with mist and fog in places, this will gradually lift to leave long spells of sunshine – say from around midday, give or take. 12’C. Becoming cloudy overnight, mist or fog in places, a small chance of a light shower also, down to around 3’C.

Wednesday sees a small area of low pressure move up from the south-west. It will be mostly cloudy, a bit of sunshine at times, but also some occasional showery rain. Mild, 13’C. Further showers at first overnight, down to around 5’C.

Thursday sees a change to colder conditions as high pressure migrates to our north-west allowing a colder flow to return.

It will be mostly cloudy, a bit of brightness in the afternoon but the odd light shower possible too. Becoming breezy and feeling colder than of late, 6’C. Mostly cloudy overnight and fairly cold, down to around 2’C.

Friday looks mostly cloudy, though a bit more in the way of sunshine than on Thursday. Chilly at 7’C though lighter wind again. Clear spells overnight and frosty, down to around -2’C.

Saturday sees high pressure over the UK. Some sunshine, especially in the morning but cloud will bubble up to a fair extent. 7’C. Mostly clear overnight, frosty, down to around -3’C.

Sunday should stay dry but it looks like weather fronts will be trying to push in from the west by this point.

Next week likely starts changeable with some rain at times and temperatures still a little chilly.

Hopefully I will get my spring forecast written either tomorrow or Wednesday after work.…