Monday 6th July 2020

I guess you could call the week ahead, “mixed”. It certainly won’t be called “summer”.

Thanks to Paul for the photograph…yes I’m using a sunset photograph. That’s the sunset photograph quota done until November.

Tonight sees variable levels of cloud, the breeze lessening, down to around 12’C.

Tuesday starts bright with some sunny spells. Cloud will soon bubble up, some bits of light rain expected by late afternoon, perhaps a bit before. Warmish and a bit humid, 21’C. Some outbreaks of rain in the evening and overnight, as a weather front very slowly sinks south, 16’C.

Wednesday looks cloudy with rain at times. Sometimes light, often moderate and occasionally heavy – there will be dry spells also. Somewhat warmish and humid, 19’C. Further outbreaks of rain overnight, occasionally heavy but mostly light-moderate – and becoming lighter and more patchy as the night goes on. 16’C and breezy.

Thursday remains mostly cloudy with occasional light rain or drizzle. There may be a little occasional brightness, but mostly cloudy and around 18’C – give or take. The occasional light rain looks like it might become a bit more organised in the evening and overnight with some heavyish bursts – though dry spells also.

I should state that there is a bit of uncertainty over how Thursday plays out and how the low pressure systems develop.

Friday could start with the overhang of showery rain still clearing away – it will gradually become sunnier, with some fair weather cloud, a north-westerly breeze and a small chance of a scattered shower. Not too bad, getting to around 20’C. Clear spells overnight, down to around 10’C.

Saturday then sees the Azores High able to stretch and build over the UK. With the jetstream close to the north of the UK, we should not expect high pressure to be in control all the time from here – there will likely be some bands of rain or showery days – but high pressure should be the main feature for a week or two, probably more.

Saturday looks fine. Starting with good spells of sunshine but cloud bubbling up – likely rather cloudy but bright, from roughly late morning through to mid-afternoon, when sunshine amounts start to increase again. Around 20’C, a very small chance of a light shower. Clear spells overnight, down to around 10’C.

Sunday looks similar to Saturday, but overall a bit less cloud – and warmer, around 23’C. Variable cloud overnight, around 12’C.

Signs of a weather front bringing a bit of showery rain either during Monday or Monday night – fresher conditions following for Tuesday, perhaps a shower.

Wednesday onwards most likely sees high pressure building over the UK or close to, and it should be warm/very warm with sunny spells. More likely than not this becomes established (as mentioned earlier) but not without interruption.…

Thursday 2nd July 2020

Last minute winner…get in! Oh wait a minute, this is a weather forecast. Not sure there is much to cheer in this forecast for the next few days (unless you like cloud) but an improvement next week.

The general background sees a fairly notable streak of the jetstream powering through the UK this weekend – this meanderingly heads north during next week, allowing the Azores High to nudge in from the south-west to bring more sunshine – but still some variability – not a clean victory.

If you are viewing on the website, the below image is the jetstream strength for Sunday – kind of set-up we’d expect in mid-winter.

Thanks to Fiona for the photograph.

Still a few scattered heavy showers this evening, but these will fade before midnight. Clear spells overnight, though cloud thickening somewhat towards dawn, around 12’C.

Friday starts bright with some hazy sunshine. Cloud thickening during the afternoon with a bit of showery rain by late afternoon or early evening, not amounting to much. Warmish, a little humid and becoming quite windy, 21’C. Occasional rain overnight – dry more than raining, mostly light to moderate but the odd heavy burst possible. 15’C and quite windy.

Saturday will be cloudy, warm, humid and quite windy. Bits of light-moderate rain at times, more likely in the morning. Any brightness very limited. 21’C. Mostly cloudy, warm and windy overnight, 16’C, the odd spot of light rain at times.

Sunday starts cloudy, warm, humid and windy. A little occasional light to moderate rain. This will clear to sunny spells in the afternoon, and a slightly fresher feel. 22’C, maybe 23’C. Clear spells overnight and fresher in a north-westerly wind, 12’C.

Monday sees the Azores High start to ridge in from the south-west.

Fresher than recent days and more sunshine, getting to around 20’C – yet a fair amount of cloud too. Likely most sunshine in the morning. A smallish chance of a shower. Mostly clear overnight, down to around 10’C.

Tuesday looks fair. Quite a bit of cloud around in the afternoon, but the morning seeing more in the way of sunshine, and still bright in the afternoon if rather cloudy. 20’C. Clear spells overnight, 11’C.

Wednesday looks like seeing spells of hazy sunshine. Cloud and rain will be to our north – it should stay there but within the realms of possibility this far out to be further south over us. Very warm, 24’C.

Thursday is…uncertain. Could be very warm and sunny, could be cooler instead – it looks like cooler air will spread down from the north-west for the latter part of next week but timing uncertain – might not happen until Friday, could happen Wednesday night. Hence Thursday uncertain.

Friday and into next weekend look reasonable. Probably a little less warm than average, though early July still means 21’C or so. Some sunny spells, some cloud at times, the odd shower possible though nothing especially likely.

The second half of July and beginning of August most likely will be very warm, often sunny, possibly occasionally hot – and if so, chances of thunderstorms increase. But generally pretty much like summer.

And many people will celebrate that like a last minute winner. Especially if they have air conditioning. Have a good weekend.…

Thursday 2nd July 2020 – Shower Update

Some limited sunny spells today but plenty of cloud – and plenty of heavy showers.

Showers pretty much from now onwards, some briefly very heavy, a rumble of thunder possible, and perhaps some hail mixed in.

Showers continuing well into the evening – you should get several heavy showers over the course of the day/evening, highly unlikely you’ll miss them all. Warm in the sunshine, around 21’C.

Full update should be tonight, though the misery of watching Hull City vs Middlesbrough at 5pm might be too much, in which case I’ll do the forecast tomorrow morning…my first day off since lockdown began!

Briefly though, some sunshine tomorrow morning, becoming cloudy and windy, small chance of shower. Generally cloudy, windy and warmish with occasional bits of rain from Friday night through to late Sunday.…